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arxiv: 1711.10765 · v1 · pith:NAUCKXLVnew · submitted 2017-11-29 · 📊 stat.CO · cs.SY· eess.SY

Learning nonlinear state-space models using smooth particle-filter-based likelihood approximations

classification 📊 stat.CO cs.SYeess.SY
keywords likelihoodparameterapproximationparticleestimatefilterfunctionlocal
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When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The key idea in this paper is to run a particle filter based on a current parameter estimate, but then use the output from this particle filter to re-evaluate the likelihood function approximation also for other parameter values. This results in a (local) deterministic approximation of the likelihood and any standard optimization routine can be applied to find the maximum of this local approximation. By iterating this procedure we eventually arrive at a final parameter estimate.

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