Radio sky maps of the GRB 170817A afterglow from simulations

We present synthetic radio images of the GRB170817A afterglow, computed from moving-mesh hydrodynamic simulations of binary neutron star merger outflows. Having expanded for nearly a year, the merger remnant is expected to subtend roughly 5 milli-arcseconds (mas) on the sky, potentially resolvable by very long baseline radio imaging techniques. Any observations revealing the radio centroid to be offset from the line-of-site to the merger would be the smoking gun of a jetted outflow. However, our results indicate that a measurement of the centroid position alone cannot independently determine whether that jet escaped successfully from the merger debris cloud, or was "choked," yielding a quasi-spherical explosion. We find that in both scenarios, the centroid exhibits superluminal proper motion away from the merger site at roughly 4 - 10 mas per day for at least the first 300 days. We argue that a successful strategy for differentiating among the explosion models will need to include multiple observations over the coming months - years. In particular, we find the time at which the centroid attains its maximum offset, and begins heading back toward the merger site, is considerably later if the jet was choked. Detecting a reversal of the centroid trajectory earlier than 600 days would uniquely identify a successful jet. Our results indicate the source might be resolved using VLBI radio observing techniques with roughly 1 mas resolution starting at roughly 400 days post-merger, and that the the angular extent of a successful jet is significantly smaller than that of a choked jet (4.5 versus 7 mas respectively).