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arxiv: 1807.03705 · v1 · pith:4ECI5GSInew · submitted 2018-07-09 · 🧮 math.PR · stat.ME

Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilities

classification 🧮 math.PR stat.ME
keywords decisioncriteriadecisionsgammaimprecisemakingoptimalprobabilities
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Various ways for decision making with imprecise probabilities (admissibility, maximal expected utility, maximality, E-admissibility, $\Gamma$-maximax, $\Gamma$-maximin, all of which are well-known from the literature) are discussed and compared. We generalize a well-known sufficient condition for existence of optimal decisions. A simple numerical example shows how these criteria can work in practice, and demonstrates their differences. Finally, we suggest an efficient approach to calculate optimal decisions under these decision criteria.

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