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Beirut explosion: Energy yield from the fireball time evolution in the first 230 milliseconds

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arxiv 2010.13537 v2 pith:2UFW3BVO submitted 2020-10-05 physics.pop-ph physics.flu-dyn

classification physics.pop-phphysics.flu-dyn
keywords energytimesevolutionfireballtimeavailablebeirutbound
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abstract

The evolution of the fireball resulting from the August 2020 Beirut explosion is traced using amateur footage taken during the first $\sim$ 230 $ms$ after the detonation. 38 frames separated by $\sim$ 16.66 - 33.33 $ms$ are extracted from 6 different videos located precisely on the map. Measurements of the time evolution of the radius $R_{t}$ of the shock wave are traced by the fireball at consecutive time sequence $t$. Pixel scales for the videos are calibrated by de-projecting the existing grains silos building for which accurate drawings are available and by defining the line of sight incident angles. The energy available to drive the shock wave at early times can be calculated through $E = 10^{2b} K \rho_{o}$ where $b$ is a fitted parameter dependant on the relation between $R_t$ and $t$. $K$ is a constant depending on the ratio of specific heats of the atmosphere and $\rho_0$ is the undisturbed gas density. A total energy yield of $E \approx 1.3\times 10^{12}$ Joules with a lower bound of $9.8\times 10^{11}$ and an upper bound of $\sim 1.7\times 10^{12}$ or the equivalent of $\sim 310_{235}^{405}$ tons of T.N.T. is found. Our energy yields are different from other published studies using the same method. This can present an argument that if the compound that exploded is fuel rich ammonium nitrate (ANFO), then the actual mass that detonated is less than officially claimed.

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