Recursive classification of satellite imaging time-series: An application to land cover mapping

Despite the extensive body of literature focused on remote sensing applications for land cover mapping and the availability of high-resolution satellite imagery, methods for continuously updating classification maps in real-time remain limited, especially when training data is scarce. This paper introduces the Recursive Bayesian Classifier (RBC), which converts any instantaneous classifier into a robust online method through a probabilistic framework that is resilient to non-informative image variations. Three experiments are conducted using Sentinel-2 data: water mapping of the Oroville Dam in California and the Charles River basin in Massachusetts, and deforestation detection in the Amazon. RBC is applied to a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), Logistic Regression (LR), and our proposed Spectral Index Classifier (SIC). Results show that RBC significantly enhances classifier robustness in multitemporal settings under challenging conditions, such as cloud cover and cyanobacterial blooms. Specifically, balanced classification accuracy improves by up to 26.95% for SIC, 12.4% for GMM, and 13.81% for LR in water mapping, and by 15.25%, 14.17%, and 14.7% in deforestation detection. Moreover, without additional training data, RBC improves the performance of the state-of-the-art DeepWaterMap and WatNet algorithms by up to 9.62% and 11.03%. These benefits are provided by RBC while requiring minimal supervision and maintaining a low computational cost that remains constant for each time step regardless of the time-series length.