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arxiv: 2309.07743 · v1 · pith:UQISI4PAnew · submitted 2023-09-14 · ⚛️ physics.soc-ph · physics.geo-ph

Lost options commitment: how short-term policies affect long-term scope of action

classification ⚛️ physics.soc-ph physics.geo-ph
keywords actionclimatecommitmentfuturegenerationsmetricpoliciesscope
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We propose to explore the sustainability of climate policies based on a novel commitment metric. This metric allows to quantify how future generations' scope of action is affected by short-term climate policy. In an example application, we show that following a moderate emission scenario like SSP2-4.5 could commit future generations to heavily rely on carbon dioxide removal or/and solar radiation modification to avoid unmanageable sea level rise.

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