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arxiv: 2505.08852 · v1 · pith:WBAGV2EBnew · submitted 2025-05-13 · 🧮 math.PR · q-fin.MF

Measure-Valued CARMA Processes

classification 🧮 math.PR q-fin.MF
keywords carmameasure-valuedmodelprocessesbanachdynamicslinearmeasures
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In this paper, we examine continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) processes on Banach spaces driven by L\'evy subordinators. We show their existence and cone-invariance, investigate their first and second order moment structure, and derive explicit conditions for their stationarity. Specifically, we define a measure-valued CARMA process as the analytically weak solution of a linear state-space model in the Banach space of finite signed measures. By selecting suitable input, transition, and output operators in the linear state-space model, we show that the resulting solution possesses CARMA dynamics and remains in the cone of positive measures defined on some spatial domain. We also illustrate how positive measure-valued CARMA processes can be used to model the dynamics of functionals of spatio-temporal random fields and connect our framework to existing CARMA-type models from the literature, highlighting its flexibility and broader applicability.

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