OmniHalluc-L: Counterfactual Benchmarking and Modality-Perturbation Reliability Calibration for Long-Form Omni Hallucination

Long-video Omni assistants often fail not by inventing content, but by misbinding real evidence: they hear the right utterance and see the right event, yet attach it to the wrong speaker, moment, or modality. These \emph{almost-true} errors evade standard video QA because local evidence remains valid, so item-level scoring can reward both a supported claim and its near-counterfactual. We introduce a counterfactual event-binding protocol that constructs paired supported/counterfactual claims from the same audio-visual event evidence and evaluates them by strict-pair accuracy. We instantiate it as \bench, a benchmark for long-video Omni hallucination, with 3{,}600 single-claim QA items from 638 long-form videos averaging 24.16 minutes and covering 256.87 hours. Under this protocol, open-weight Omni models remain weak at pair-level binding: Qwen2.5-Omni-7B reaches 32.06\% and Qwen3-Omni-Instruct reaches 41.55\%, versus 76.54\% for a closed-source reference. To narrow this gap without updating the backbone, we propose \method, Modality-Perturbation Reliability Calibration, a frozen-backbone framework that selects audio-negative probes within video-level folds and fuses their response shifts with native audio-visual confidence into per-claim support estimates. \method lifts Qwen2.5-Omni-7B to 36.22\% and Qwen3 to 51.09\% on \bench, and improves target-adapted MCQ accuracy on OmniVideoBench ($+$2.20) and WorldSense ($+$1.51) with Qwen3.