Confusion noise in millimetre/submillimetre surveys

The flux density from undetected sources in the observing beam of a telescope produces source confusion noise in the resulting maps of the sky, and thus limits sensitivity. In a recent paper we discussed this effect in the millimetre/submillimetre waveband, using a simple model of galaxy evolution that could account for the gravitationally lensed images of distant dusty galaxies newly discovered in the fields of clusters of galaxies. New models explain all the available mm, submm and far-infrared data. The associated predictions of source confusion noise are presented here. The new and old estimates agree to within a factor of two on angular scales between about 0.3 and 50 arcmin, and are most similar on angular scales of about 1 arcmin. The new estimates are greater/less than the old ones on larger/smaller angular scales.