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arxiv: nlin/0312040 · v1 · pith:43RJNHOSnew · submitted 2003-12-19 · 🌊 nlin.CD · nlin.AO· q-fin.TR

Speculative bubbles and fat tail phenomena in a heterogeneous agent model

classification 🌊 nlin.CD nlin.AOq-fin.TR
keywords agentheterogeneousmodelmarketsspeculativealmostbubblebubbles
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The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of traders' strategies. Furthermore, we show that the distributions of returns generated from the heterogeneous agent model have fat tails, a remarkable stylized fact observed in almost all financial markets.

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