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arxiv: nlin/0511048 · v1 · submitted 2005-11-23 · 🌊 nlin.AO · q-fin.ST

Persistence Probabilities of the German DAX and Shanghai Index

classification 🌊 nlin.AO q-fin.ST
keywords persistencedistributionsgermanindexprobabilityshanghaianalysisanalyzed
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We present a relatively detailed analysis of the persistence probability distributions in financial dynamics. Compared with the auto-correlation function, the persistence probability distributions describe dynamic correlations non-local in time. Universal and non-universal behaviors of the German DAX and Shanghai Index are analyzed, and numerical simulations of some microscopic models are also performed. Around the fixed point $z_0=0$, the interacting herding model produces the scaling behavior of the real markets.

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