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arxiv: physics/0606115 · v1 · submitted 2006-06-14 · ⚛️ physics.soc-ph · q-fin.ST

Long-range memory model of trading activity and volatility

classification ⚛️ physics.soc-ph q-fin.ST
keywords modelmemorystochasticpowerpropertiestimeactivitydensity
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Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the same long range memory properties. Here we present a stochastic differential equation as a dynamical model of the observed memory in the financial time series. The continuous stochastic process reproduces the statistical properties of the trading activity and serves as a background model for the modeling waiting time, return and volatility. Empirically observed statistical properties: exponents of the power-law probability distributions and power spectral density of the long-range memory financial variables are reproduced with the same values of few model parameters.

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