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Permutation inference with a finite number of heterogeneous clusters

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arxiv 1907.01049 v2 pith:HSPJE4II submitted 2019-07-01 econ.EM stat.ME

classification econ.EMstat.ME
keywords clusterspermutationnumbertestconventionaleffectfiniteheterogeneous
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I introduce a simple permutation procedure to test conventional (non-sharp) hypotheses about the effect of a binary treatment in the presence of a finite number of large, heterogeneous clusters when the treatment effect is identified by comparisons across clusters. The procedure asymptotically controls size by applying a level-adjusted permutation test to a suitable statistic. The adjustments needed for most empirically relevant situations are tabulated in the paper. The adjusted permutation test is easy to implement in practice and performs well at conventional levels of significance with at least four treated clusters and a similar number of control clusters. It is particularly robust to situations where some clusters are much more variable than others. Examples and an empirical application are provided.

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    A mosaic permutation test gives finite-sample valid tests and confidence intervals for panel regressions under local exchangeability, with asymptotic robustness under cluster independence.

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