Evolution of Technologies and Multivalued Circuits
Pith reviewed 2026-05-25 11:35 UTC · model grok-4.3
The pith
The evolution of IC technologies increases the disadvantages of multi-valued logic circuits versus binary ones.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
For more than 45 years, many multi-valued circuits have been presented. With very rare exceptions, they have been unsuccessful for fundamental reasons that can be explained. Each time a new circuit technology is presented, a lot of new MVL circuits are proposed. Can new circuit technologies overcome the fundamental disadvantages of MVL circuits? The evolution of IC technologies in the last decades unfortunately increases the disadvantage of MVL circuits versus binary ones. For non conventional technologies, only quantum devices look promising, even if implementation is challenging and applications are restricted to a small niche.
What carries the argument
The persistent comparison of noise margins, power dissipation, and implementation complexity between multi-valued and binary circuits as device technologies scale.
If this is right
- Binary IC scaling trends will continue to enlarge the performance gap favoring binary circuits over MVL.
- Non-quantum emerging technologies will not remove the fundamental barriers that have blocked MVL adoption.
- Quantum devices remain the sole candidate class that could support MVL, but only within restricted niches.
Where Pith is reading between the lines
- Research investment in MVL for conventional or near-conventional device platforms is unlikely to yield practical results.
- If multi-valued operation is required, device physics efforts would need to prioritize quantum-effect structures over classical scaling.
- Binary circuit dominance may extend indefinitely unless device-level noise and power properties change at the physical level.
Load-bearing premise
The core drawbacks of multi-valued circuits in noise margins, power, and complexity will remain or grow worse under continued binary technology scaling without help from non-quantum alternatives.
What would settle it
A fabricated multi-valued circuit in a scaled mainstream technology that matches or exceeds binary performance on noise margin, power per function, and area.
Figures
read the original abstract
For more than 45 years, many multi-valued circuits have been presented. With very rare exceptions, they have been unsuccessful for fundamental reasons that can be explained. Each time a new circuit technology is presented, a lot of new MVL circuits are proposed. Can new circuit technologies overcome the fundamental disadvantages of MVL circuits? The evolution of IC technologies in the last decades unfortunately increases the disadvantage of MVL circuits versus binary ones. For non conventional technologies, only quantum devices look promising, even if implementation is challenging and applications are restricted to a small niche.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The manuscript reviews more than 45 years of multi-valued logic (MVL) circuit proposals, attributes their commercial failure to fundamental disadvantages (noise margins, power consumption, and circuit complexity), and argues that continued scaling of conventional IC technologies has increased these disadvantages relative to binary circuits. It concludes that, among non-conventional technologies, only quantum devices remain potentially viable, albeit with severe implementation challenges and restricted niche applications.
Significance. If the historical synthesis is accepted, the paper supplies a cautionary perspective that could help redirect research effort away from repeated MVL attempts in conventional technologies and toward quantum or binary alternatives. Its breadth of historical coverage is a modest strength, but the absence of quantitative models, error analysis, or new supporting data limits its ability to generate falsifiable predictions or alter technical practice.
major comments (1)
- [Abstract] Abstract: the central claim that 'the evolution of IC technologies in the last decades unfortunately increases the disadvantage of MVL circuits versus binary ones' is presented as a qualitative historical judgment without accompanying quantitative metrics, scaling-law references, or comparative data on parameters such as supply voltage, noise margins, or interconnect complexity; this interpretive step is load-bearing for the final recommendation yet remains unsupported within the manuscript.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for the constructive comments. We address the major comment below.
read point-by-point responses
-
Referee: [Abstract] Abstract: the central claim that 'the evolution of IC technologies in the last decades unfortunately increases the disadvantage of MVL circuits versus binary ones' is presented as a qualitative historical judgment without accompanying quantitative metrics, scaling-law references, or comparative data on parameters such as supply voltage, noise margins, or interconnect complexity; this interpretive step is load-bearing for the final recommendation yet remains unsupported within the manuscript.
Authors: The manuscript is a historical synthesis of more than 45 years of MVL proposals, attributing their commercial failure to fundamental disadvantages (noise margins, power consumption, circuit complexity) that are explained in the body of the paper. The claim about IC technology evolution follows directly from how documented scaling trends—such as reduced supply voltages—amplify those same disadvantages for multi-level signals relative to binary ones. While the paper does not introduce new quantitative models or simulations, the interpretation rests on the empirical pattern of repeated failures and established circuit theory. We will revise the manuscript to include explicit references to CMOS scaling literature addressing voltage reduction, noise margins, and interconnect effects to make this connection more explicit. revision: yes
Circularity Check
No significant circularity identified
full rationale
The paper is an opinion and historical analysis piece without equations, fitted parameters, derivations, or quantitative models. Its claims rest on interpretations of external historical MVL outcomes over 45 years and observed IC scaling trends, with no internal chain that reduces by construction to its own inputs or self-citations. The argument is self-contained against external benchmarks and does not invoke any of the enumerated circularity patterns.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
axioms (1)
- domain assumption Historical failures of MVL circuits indicate fundamental disadvantages that new non-quantum technologies will not overcome.
Reference graph
Works this paper leans on
-
[1]
V . Gaudet, “A Survey and Tutorial on Contemporary Aspects of Multiple-Valued Logic and Its Application to Microelectronic Circuit”, IEEE Journal on Emerging and Selected Topics in Circuits and Systems, V ol. 6. No 1. March 2016
work page 2016
-
[2]
A review of multiple-valued memory technology
G. Gulak, “A review of multiple-valued memory technology”, Proceed- ings. 1998 28th IEEE International Symposium on Multiple- Valued Logic, Fukuoka, 1998, pp. 222-231
work page 1998
-
[3]
Comparison of binary and multivalued integrated circuits according to VLSI criteria
D. Etiemble and M. Israel, “Comparison of binary and multivalued integrated circuits according to VLSI criteria”, IEEE Computer, pp.28- 42, April 1988
work page 1988
-
[4]
D. Etiemble, Why M-Valued Circuits are restricted to a Small Niche”, in Journal of Multiple Valued Logic and Soft Computing, V ol. 9, N o1, 2003
work page 2003
-
[5]
Hurst, “Multiple-Valued Logic - Its Status and Its Future“, IEEE Trans
S.L. Hurst, “Multiple-Valued Logic - Its Status and Its Future“, IEEE Trans. on Computers, VOL. C-33, N o 12, December 1984
work page 1984
-
[6]
New Microarchitecture Challenges in the Coming Genera- tions of CMOS Process Technologies
F. Pollack, “New Microarchitecture Challenges in the Coming Genera- tions of CMOS Process Technologies”, Intel Corp. Micro32 conference key note - 1999
work page 1999
-
[7]
A new concept for ternary logic elements
D. Etiemble, and M. Israel, “A new concept for ternary logic elements”, Proc. 1974 International Symposium on Multiple Valued Logic. Mor- gantown, West Virginia, pp 437-456
work page 1974
-
[8]
A 4-valued ECL Encoder and Decoder Circuit
M. Brilman, D. Etiemble, J.L.Oursel , and P.Tatareau, “A 4-valued ECL Encoder and Decoder Circuit”, IEEE J. Solid State Circuits, V ol. SC17, No 3, pp 547-552, June 1982
work page 1982
-
[9]
Multilevel I2L with threshold gates,
T. Dao, L. Russell, D. Preedy, and E. McCluskey, “Multilevel I2L with threshold gates,” 1977 IEEE International Solid-State Circuits Conference. Digest of Technical Papers, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 1977, pp. 110-111
work page 1977
-
[10]
A 16-level/Cell Dynamic Memory
M. Aoki et al, “A 16-level/Cell Dynamic Memory”, IEEE J. Solid State Circuits, V ol. SC-22, No 2, pp. 297-299, April 1987
work page 1987
-
[11]
A 1 Gb DRAM for File Application
T. Sugibayashi, I. Naritake, A. Utsugi et al, “A 1 Gb DRAM for File Application”, ISSCC Digest of Technical Papers, pp. 254-255, Feb. 1995
work page 1995
-
[12]
T. Murotani et al., “A 4-level Storage 4Gb DRAM”, ISSCC Digest of Technical Papers, pp.74-75, Feb. 1997
work page 1997
-
[13]
A multilevel-Cell 32Mb Flash Memory
J. Bauer et al, “A multilevel-Cell 32Mb Flash Memory”, ISSCC Digest of Technical Papers, pp.132-133, Feb. 1995. 6
work page 1995
-
[14]
T. Jung et al, ”A 3.3 V 128 Mb Multi-Level Flash Memory for Mass Storage Applications”, ISSCC Digest of Technical Papers, pp.32-33, Feb. 1996
work page 1996
-
[15]
M.M. Shulaker, G. Hills, N. Patil, H. Wei, H.Y Chen, H.S. Philip Wong and S. Mitra, “Carbon nanotube computer", Nature, V ol 501, 26 September 2013, doi: 10.1038/nature12502
-
[16]
Robust and energy-efficient carbon nanotube FET- based MVL gates: A novel design approach
F. Sharifi, et al., “Robust and energy-efficient carbon nanotube FET- based MVL gates: A novel design approach”, Microaelectronic. J (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10;1016/j.mejo.2015.09;018
work page 2015
-
[17]
Scaling Beyond Moore: Single Electron Transistor and Single Atom Transistor Integration on CMOS
V . Deshpande. “Scaling Beyond Moore: Single Electron Transistor and Single Atom Transistor Integration on CMOS.” Ph.D Université de Grenoble, 2012, https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-00813508/document
work page 2012
-
[18]
A Single Electron Transistor Logic Gate Family for Binary, Multivalued and Mixed-Mode Logic
K. Degawa, T. Aoki, T.Higuhi, H. Inokawa and Y . Takahashi, “A Single Electron Transistor Logic Gate Family for Binary, Multivalued and Mixed-Mode Logic”, IEICE Trans. Electron., V ol E87-C, N o 11, November 2004
work page 2004
-
[19]
Multi-valued and Fuzzy Logic Realization using TaOx Memris- tive Devices
D. Bhattacharjee, W. Kim, A. Chattopadhyay, R. Waser and V . Rana, “Multi-valued and Fuzzy Logic Realization using TaOx Memris- tive Devices", Scientific Reports 8, Article number: 8 (2018), DOI https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-18329-3
-
[20]
IBM Makes Quantum Computing Available on IBM Cloud to Ac- celerate Innovation
“IBM Makes Quantum Computing Available on IBM Cloud to Ac- celerate Innovation”, IBM News room, 2016-05-04, https://www- 03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/49661.wss
work page 2016
-
[21]
S. Aaronson, “The limits fo Quantum”, Scientific American, pp. 62-69, March 2008
work page 2008
-
[22]
Not even IBM is sure where its quantum computer experiments will lead
A. Tarantola, “Not even IBM is sure where its quantum computer experiments will lead”. Personal Computing, https://www.engadget.com/2018/02/23/ibm-q-quantum-computer- experiments. 7
work page 2018
discussion (0)
Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.