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A model-independent determination of the Hubble constant from lensed quasars and supernovae using Gaussian process regression

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arxiv 1908.04967 v2 pith:2PNMQPY7 submitted 2019-08-14 astro-ph.CO

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords distancesgaussianmodelprocesssupernovasystemsassumptioncombination
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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abstract

Strongly lensed quasar systems with time delay measurements provide "time delay distances", which are a combination of three angular diameter distances and serve as powerful tools to determine the Hubble constant $H_0$. However, current results often rely on the assumption of the $\Lambda$CDM model. Here we use a model-independent method based on Gaussian process to directly constrain the value of $H_0$. By using Gaussian process regression, we can generate posterior samples of unanchored supernova distances independent of any cosmological model and anchor them with strong lens systems. The combination of a supernova sample with large statistics but no sensitivity to $H_0$ with a strong lens sample with small statistics but $H_0$ sensitivity gives a precise $H_0$ measurement without the assumption of any cosmological model. We use four well-analyzed lensing systems from the state-of-art lensing program H0LiCOW and the Pantheon supernova compilation in our analysis. Assuming the Universe is flat, we derive the constraint $H_0=72.2 \pm 2.1\,$km/s/Mpc, a precision of $2.9\%$. Allowing for cosmic curvature with a prior of $\Omega_{k}=[-0.2,0.2]$, the constraint becomes $H_0=73.0_{-3.0}^{+2.8}\,$km/s/Mpc.

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Forward citations

Cited by 3 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Hubble tension: the shape wall

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Late-time modifications to the expansion history can raise H0 by at most about 2% (conservative) to 3.7% (permissive) if the CMB acoustic scale is fixed.

  2. Quasar cosmology II: joint analyses with Cosmic Microwave Background

    astro-ph.CO 2025-06 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Quasar, supernova, BAO, DES, and CMB data are jointly compatible only in an interacting dark-energy model, not in Lambda-CDM, wCDM, or CPL.

  3. Cosmo-Learn: code for learning cosmology using different methods and mock data

    astro-ph.CO 2025-08 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    An open-source toolkit that simulates late-universe cosmological observations and benchmarks MCMC, genetic algorithms, Gaussian processes, Bayesian ridge regression, and neural networks in one pipeline.

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