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Beware of commonly used approximations II: estimating systematic biases in the best-fit parameters

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arxiv 2005.09666 v2 pith:LT2IPKBZ submitted 2020-05-19 astro-ph.CO

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keywords parametersystematicapproximationsbiasescosmologicalanalysesangularbest-fit
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abstract

Cosmological parameter estimation from forthcoming experiments promise to reach much greater precision than current constraints. As statistical errors shrink, the required control over systematic errors increases. Therefore, models or approximations that were sufficiently accurate so far, may introduce significant systematic biases in the parameter best-fit values and jeopardize the robustness of cosmological analyses. We present a general expression to estimate a priori the systematic error introduced in parameter inference due to the use of insufficiently good approximations in the computation of the observable of interest or the assumption of an incorrect underlying model. Although this methodology can be applied to measurements of any scientific field, we illustrate its power by studying the effect of modeling the angular galaxy power spectrum incorrectly. We also introduce Multi_CLASS, a new, public modification of the Boltzmann code CLASS, which includes the possibility to compute angular cross-power spectra for two different tracers. We find that significant biases in most of the cosmological parameters are introduced if one assumes the Limber approximation or neglects lensing magnification in modern galaxy survey analyses, and the effect is in general larger for the multi-tracer case, especially for the parameter controlling primordial non-Gaussianity of the local type, $f_{\rm NL}$.

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Cited by 4 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Impact and measurability of linear relativistic effects in galaxy surveys

    astro-ph.CO 2026-07 accept novelty 6.0 of 10

    Neglecting linear GR effects biases f_NL at 1–3σ for Euclid/SPHEREx in SFB forecasts; multi-tracer improves Doppler detection and weakly breaks b_ϕ f_NL degeneracy.

  2. Unbiased analysis of primordial non-Gaussianity: the multipoles of the full relativistic power spectrum

    astro-ph.CO 2025-11 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Integrated relativistic (lensing, ISW, time-delay) corrections to power-spectrum multipoles bias predicted f_NL constraints by ~3σ (Euclid) and ~20σ (MegaMapper); a bright-faint split partly offsets the luminosity-fun...

  3. Bias from small-scale leakage in Pulsar Timing Array maps

    astro-ph.IM 2025-10 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    Unmodeled small-scale gravitational-wave power systematically inflates reconstructed large-scale angular power spectra in pulsar timing array anisotropy searches.

  4. Imprints of Large-Scale Structures in the Anisotropies of the Cosmological Gravitational Wave Background

    astro-ph.CO 2025-05 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    The cosmological gravitational wave background is predicted to cross-correlate with galaxy positions through the late integrated Sachs-Wolfe effect, giving a source-discrimination handle and a forecast improvement of ...

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