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When Is Parallel Trends Sensitive to Functional Form?

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arxiv 2010.04814 v5 pith:OKZNI55U submitted 2020-10-09 econ.EM stat.ME

classification econ.EMstat.ME
keywords paralleltrendsformfunctionalconditiondistributionholdsinsensitive
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This paper assesses when the validity of difference-in-differences depends on functional form. We provide a novel characterization: the parallel trends assumption holds under all strictly monotonic transformations of the outcome if and only if a stronger ``parallel trends''-type condition holds for the cumulative distribution function of untreated potential outcomes. This condition for parallel trends to be insensitive to functional form is satisfied if and essentially only if the population can be partitioned into a subgroup for which treatment is effectively randomly assigned and a remaining subgroup for which the distribution of untreated potential outcomes is stable over time. These conditions have testable implications, and we introduce falsification tests for the null that parallel trends is insensitive to functional form.

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    Under conditional time stationarity of panel disturbances, period-specific quantile projections on the full regressor history identify a common slope through diagonal-minus-off-diagonal contrasts, and quantile-varying...

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