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Lossless, Scalable Implicit Likelihood Inference for Cosmological Fields

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arxiv 2107.07405 v2 pith:OCNJIEUO submitted 2021-07-15 astro-ph.CO

classification astro-ph.CO
keywords inferenceinformationlikelihoodcosmologicalcovariancefieldsimplicitsimulation-based
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abstract

We present a comparison of simulation-based inference to full, field-based analytical inference in cosmological data analysis. To do so, we explore parameter inference for two cases where the information content is calculable analytically: Gaussian random fields whose covariance depends on parameters through the power spectrum; and correlated lognormal fields with cosmological power spectra. We compare two inference techniques: i) explicit field-level inference using the known likelihood and ii) implicit likelihood inference with maximally informative summary statistics compressed via Information Maximising Neural Networks (IMNNs). We find that a) summaries obtained from convolutional neural network compression do not lose information and therefore saturate the known field information content, both for the Gaussian covariance and the lognormal cases, b) simulation-based inference using these maximally informative nonlinear summaries recovers nearly losslessly the exact posteriors of field-level inference, bypassing the need to evaluate expensive likelihoods or invert covariance matrices, and c) even for this simple example, implicit, simulation-based likelihood incurs a much smaller computational cost than inference with an explicit likelihood. This work uses a new IMNNs implementation in $\texttt{Jax}$ that can take advantage of fully-differentiable simulation and inference pipeline. We also demonstrate that a single retraining of the IMNN summaries effectively achieves the theoretically maximal information, enhancing the robustness to the choice of fiducial model where the IMNN is trained.

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  1. Diagnosing Systematic Effects Using the Inferred Initial Power Spectrum

    astro-ph.CO 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    The inferred initial matter power spectrum from the SELFI algorithm reveals misspecified galaxy bias, selection, mask, redshift, and gravity models, exposing a >2σ cosmological bias before parameter inference.

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