Inferring galaxy dark halo properties from visible matter with Machine Learning

Next-generation surveys will provide photometric and spectroscopic data of millions to billions of galaxies with unprecedented precision. This offers a unique chance to improve our understanding of the galaxy evolution and the unresolved nature of dark matter (DM). At galaxy scales, the density distribution of DM is strongly affected by the astrophysical feedback processes, which are difficult to fully account for in classical techniques to derive mass models. In this work, we explore the capability of supervised learning algorithms to predict the DM content of galaxies from luminous observational-like parameters, using the public catalog of the TNG100 simulation. In particular, we use Photometric, Structural and Kinematic parameters to predict the total DM mass, DM half-mass radius, DM mass inside one and two stellar half-mass radii. We adopt the coefficient of determination, $R^2$, as a reference metric to evaluate the accuracy of these predictions. We find that the Photometric features alone are able to predict the total DM mass with fair accuracy, while Structural and Photometric features together are more effective to determine the DM inside the stellar half mass radius, and the DM within twice the stellar half mass radius. However, using all observational quantities together (Photometry, Structural and Kinematics) incredibly improves the overall accuracy for all DM quantities. This first test shows that Machine Learning tools are promising approaches to derive predictions of the DM in real galaxies. The next steps will be to improve observational realism of the training sets, by closely select samples which accurately reproduce the typical observed luminous scaling relations. The trained pipelines will be suitable for real galaxy data collected from the next-generation surveys like Rubin/LSST, Euclid, CSST, 4MOST, DESI, to derive, e.g., the properties of their central DM fractions.