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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

As of 11 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 3 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2206.04132.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2206.04132 v1

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 3 of 3 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00

measured 3 of 3 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-10T14:45:36.890353Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

22
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 9698ab54-0d3a-4c6f-bdbb-6e23f14468dd · inbound

Why do Experts Disagree on Existential Risk and P(doom)? A Survey of AI Experts cites this paper.

Why do Experts Disagree on Existential Risk and P(doom)? A Survey of AI Experts Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-10T14:45:36.890353Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-10T14:45:36.890353Z digest=sha256:9cf68306c7a521e7ac60b1664243c95b4d06b7667129b1f06a300115b1dc6845

Observation 624c877f-84e6-411d-989d-4ff1baa972c6 · inbound

The human biological advantage over AI cites this paper.

The human biological advantage over AI Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

Reference 46

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-05T10:23:42.535214Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-05T10:23:42.535214Z digest=sha256:c1de9e2e7c5c60c03436d5c1acb1b28a0601fdac63f5efec5a18eb097b68ef2c

Observation 74281386-1902-4ba1-b4c7-172779e00ba9 · inbound

Prioritization of Risks from Artificial Intelligence: A Delphi Study of 272 International Experts cites this paper.

Prioritization of Risks from Artificial Intelligence: A Delphi Study of 272 International Experts Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers

Reference 46

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-06-28T04:31:38.907724Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-11T06:34:44.6726+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-28T04:30:54.826532Z digest=sha256:0823713854b0faf18de1608d624b4837b68ab483ceb4c55d0604472290383cad