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Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022

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arxiv 2207.13483 v1 pith:5JDJZ4OI submitted 2022-07-27 q-bio.PE

Giorgio Guzzetta , Alessia Mammone , Federica Ferraro , Anna Caraglia , Alessia Rapiti , Valentina Marziano , Piero Poletti , Danilo Cereda
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Francesco Vairo Giovanna Mattei Francesco Maraglino Giovanni Rezza Stefano Merler
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keywords meandaysestimatesgenerationincubationitalymonkeypoxnumber
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We analyzed the first 255 PCR-confirmed cases of monkeypox occurred in Italy in 2022. Preliminary estimates indicate: mean incubation period of 9.1 days (95%CI of the mean: 6.5-10.9); mean generation time of 12.5 days (95%CI of the mean: 7.5-17.3); reproduction number in the MSM community of 2.43 (95%CI: 1.82-3.26).

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