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Asymptotic Representations for Sequential Decisions, Adaptive Experiments, and Batched Bandits

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arxiv 2302.03117 v2 pith:6M2UJQLA submitted 2023-02-06 econ.EM

classification econ.EM
keywords adaptiveasymptoticsequentialappliedbatcheddecisionrulessettings
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We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect the observation of variables in later stages, our asymptotic representation characterizes all limit distributions attainable through a joint choice of an adaptive design rule and statistics applied to the adaptively generated data. This facilitates local power analysis of tests, comparison of adaptive treatments rules, and other analyses of batchwise sequential statistical decision rules.

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Cited by 2 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Minimax and Bayes Optimal Best-Arm Identification

    econ.EM 2025-06 conditional novelty 8.0 of 10

    TS-SPAS attains the exact asymptotic minimax and Bayes constants for fixed-budget best-arm identification, with matching lower and upper bounds over exponential family outcomes.

  2. Admissibility of Completely Randomized Trials: A Large-Deviation Approach

    stat.ML 2025-06 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Batched arm elimination designs with a sufficiently large first batch achieve a strictly higher large-deviation efficiency exponent than completely randomized trials for every Gaussian instance with K at least 3.

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