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arxiv: 2311.07936 · v6 · submitted 2023-11-14 · 🧮 math.PR · q-fin.MF· q-fin.PR

Occupied Processes: Going with the Flow

Pith reviewed 2026-05-24 05:28 UTC · model grok-4.3

classification 🧮 math.PR q-fin.MFq-fin.PR
keywords occupied processesoccupation flowItô calculuspath-dependent PDEsMarkov processeslocal timesoptimal stoppingfinancial derivatives
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The pith

Enlarging a Markov process with its occupation flow preserves the Markov property.

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The paper shows that when a stochastic process X is Markov, the enlarged process that also tracks the occupation flow O (time spent at each level) remains Markov. It develops an Itô calculus for these occupied processes that sits between the classical version and Dupire's full functional version, yielding Itô formulae without extra path regularity. Feynman-Kac then produces path-dependent PDEs in which O acts as the time variable while the state variable stays the finite-dimensional value of X. The construction is used to treat optimal stopping problems with local times and to give Markovian lifts for exotic options and variance instruments.

Core claim

When X is Markov, the occupied process (O,X) enjoys a Markov structure as well. We develop an Itô calculus for occupied processes that lies midway between Dupire's functional Itô calculus and the classical version. We derive Itô formulae and, through Feynman-Kac, unveil a broad class of path-dependent PDEs where O plays the role of time. The space variable, given by the current value of X, remains finite-dimensional, thereby paving the way for standard elliptic PDE techniques and numerical methods.

What carries the argument

The occupied process (O,X) formed by adjoining the occupation flow O, which records the time spent by the path at each level, to the original Markov process X.

If this is right

  • Optimal stopping problems that involve local times become solvable inside the Markovian framework.
  • Exotic options and variance instruments obtain unified Markovian lifts.
  • Derivative books can be priced with a single numerical solver rather than separate models for each contract.
  • Forward variance models extend to the full forward occupation surface.

Where Pith is reading between the lines

These are editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • The finite-dimensional state may allow existing elliptic PDE solvers to handle a wider range of path-dependent payoffs without functional-Itô overhead.
  • The same occupation-flow enlargement could be tested on non-Markov base processes to see whether approximate Markovianity emerges.
  • Numerical checks on Brownian motion or simple diffusions would confirm whether the new PDEs recover known prices for variance swaps.

Load-bearing premise

The technical conditions under which adding the occupation flow preserves the Markov property and permits an intermediate Itô calculus without the full functional Itô machinery or extra path regularity.

What would settle it

A concrete Markov process X together with an explicit calculation showing that (O,X) fails the Markov property at some time t or that the derived Itô formula does not hold for a simple test function.

Figures

Figures reproduced from arXiv: 2311.07936 by Valentin Tissot-Daguette.

Figure 1
Figure 1. Figure 1: Occupation flow O and its dynamics d Ot = δXtd⟨X⟩t . x 0 t δXt Xt Ot 2.3 Occupation Functional and Markov Property An occupation functional is a map f : D → R, (o, x) 7→ f(o, x). Naturally, we are interested in plugging in occupied processes and studying properties of f(Ot , Xt) or f(O˜ t , Xt). We stress that occupation functionals do not explicitly depend on the time variable. This is because occupation … view at source ↗
Figure 2
Figure 2. Figure 2: The occupation derivative ∂of(Ot , Xt) gives the sensitivity of f with respect to a Dirac impulse at the spot Xt . Proposition 3. If X is a continuous semimartingale and f ∈ C1 (M), then df(Ot) = ∂of(Ot , Xt)d⟨X⟩t , (25) df(O˜ t) = ∂of(O˜ t , Xt)dt. (26) Proof. It is a byproduct of Theorem 3.1 below. Example 1. Consider the linear functional f(o) = ϕ · o. In light of the occupation time formula (11), f(Ot)… view at source ↗
Figure 3
Figure 3. Figure 3: Unified Markovian lift for exotic options and structured products. [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p018_3.png] view at source ↗
Figure 4
Figure 4. Figure 4: Unified Markovian lift for variance derivatives. [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p021_4.png] view at source ↗
Figure 5
Figure 5. Figure 5: Occupation measure using calendar time ( [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p024_5.png] view at source ↗
Figure 6
Figure 6. Figure 6: Guyon’s toy volatility model with σ given in (65). One simulations using the Euler￾Maruyama scheme in Section 5.1. Parameters: x0 = 100, T = 1, κ = 12, and (α, β, γ) = (2.1, 1.2, 1.9). 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 t 60 70 80 90 100 110 X 1 Oκ(R) R R x Oκ(dx) 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 t 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 σ(Oκ t , Xt) with parameters α, β, γ > 0, and functional Υ(O κ t , Xt) = Xt 1 Oκ t (R) R R … view at source ↗
Figure 7
Figure 7. Figure 7: Local occupied volatility (yellow dot) compared with local volatility (red). The [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p028_7.png] view at source ↗
Figure 8
Figure 8. Figure 8: Simulated price path and volatility in the Local Occupied Volatility (LOV) model, [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p030_8.png] view at source ↗
Figure 9
Figure 9. Figure 9: Calibration loss L(θ) versus epochs. volatility model. We also set r = 4.35% and q = 0.5%, aligned respectively with short-term U.S. treasury rates and SPX implied dividend yields as of 02/27/2025. All market data was sourced from Bloomberg. We sample 28 pairs of antithetic paths (hence J = 29 ) for each training iteration, which is increased to 212 pairs after 1, 000 epochs. In Step I., the occupied SDE i… view at source ↗
Figure 10
Figure 10. Figure 10: Model implied volatility skews for SPX monthly options compared to market bid [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p034_10.png] view at source ↗
Figure 11
Figure 11. Figure 11: Neural and local volatility versus spot. 2 [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p035_11.png] view at source ↗
Figure 12
Figure 12. Figure 12: Implied sensitivity function ℓ Q(t, Xt , ·) (yellow) and projected occupation measure Oˆ κ t = E Q[Oκ t |Xt ] (purple). 5.4 Joint Calibration To better pinpoint the sensitivity function, further work includes the calibration of occupied volatility to other instruments, such as VIX, exotic, or American options. Indeed, while the local volatility function guarantees perfect calibration to European vanilla o… view at source ↗
Figure 13
Figure 13. Figure 13: Forward occupation surfaces of SPX Options as of 2025/02/27, 4pm EST. Left: [PITH_FULL_IMAGE:figures/full_fig_p037_13.png] view at source ↗
Figure 14
Figure 14. Figure 14: Occupation flow O and stopped spot local time L Xτ τ . Two simulations. x τ L Xτ τ x τ L Xτ τ S either mentally or visually, we can regard the stopping region as a subset of R for a given occupation measure, i.e., S(o) = {x ∈ supp(o) : (o, x) ∈ S}. For every t ∈ [0, T] , this gives the pathwise partition {Xs : s ≤ t} = supp(Ot) = S(Ot) ∪ C(Ot), with the continuation region C(o) = {x ∈ supp(o) : v(o, x) > … view at source ↗
Figure 15
Figure 15. Figure 15: Spot local time OS problem with T = {t, T}. Stopping region (red) and contin￾uation region (green) at t depending whether the intrinsic value L x t (if Xt = x) exceeds the continuation value given in (96). x t T Ot + EQ[Ot,T] Ot legitimate in the sense that the value of the OS problem (90) with φ = φ ε converges to the value of (95). If X is a simulated Brownian path on a regular time grid tn = nδt, δt = … view at source ↗
Figure 16
Figure 16. Figure 16: Verification of Proposition 7 and Corollary 1 with T = 1. Estimate of ε 7→ v ε ∗ using the inspection strategy (Section 7.3), N = 400 time intervals and 214 simulations. 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 ε 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Least Square Monte Carlo v ε ∗ v∗ − √ Cε v ε(T) converges to the value v∗ of (95) in the extreme cases T = {T} and T = [0, T]. We start with the former, where v ε ∗ = v ε (T) and v∗ = v(T)… view at source ↗
Figure 17
Figure 17. Figure 17: Original path ω (left), time permutation ψ defined in (101) with ξ = (−1, 1, 1, −1) and σ((1, 2, 3, 4)) = (3, 2, 4, 1) (middle) and transformed path ω ◦ ψ (right). t0 t1 t2 t3 t4 t0 t1 t2 t3 t4 t0 t1 t2 t3 t4 t0 t1 t2 t3 t4 Definition 4. A path functional f : ΩT → R is called chronology-invariant if f(ω ◦ ψ) = f(ω) for all ω ∈ ΩT , ψ ∈ ST . The next Theorem finally connects chronology invariance functiona… view at source ↗
read the original abstract

A stochastic process $X$ becomes occupied when it is enlarged with its occupation flow $\mathcal{O}$ that tracks the time spent by the path at each level. When $X$ is Markov, the occupied process $(\mathcal{O},X)$ enjoys a Markov structure as well. We develop an It\^o calculus for occupied processes that lies midway between Dupire's functional It\^o calculus and the classical version. We derive It\^o formulae and, through Feynman-Kac, unveil a broad class of path-dependent PDEs where $\mathcal{O}$ plays the role of time. The space variable, given by the current value of $X$, remains finite-dimensional, thereby paving the way for standard elliptic PDE techniques and numerical methods. The framework's benefits are illustrated via an optimal stopping problem involving local times, followed by financial applications. For the latter, we show how occupation flows provide unified Markovian lifts for exotic options and variance instruments, allowing financial institutions to price derivatives books with a single numerical solver. We finally explore an extension of forward variance models so as to leverage the entire forward occupation surface.

Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, simulated authors' rebuttal, and a circularity audit. Tearing a paper down is the easy half of reading it; the pith above is the substance, this is the friction.

Referee Report

2 major / 2 minor

Summary. The paper introduces occupied processes by enlarging a Markov process X with its occupation flow O that tracks time spent at each level. It claims that (O,X) inherits the Markov property, develops an intermediate Itô calculus between Dupire's functional version and the classical one, derives Itô formulae, and applies Feynman-Kac to obtain path-dependent PDEs in which O plays the role of time while the space variable (current value of X) remains finite-dimensional. Applications include an optimal stopping problem with local times and financial examples showing unified Markovian lifts for exotic options and variance instruments, plus an extension to forward variance models.

Significance. If the central claims hold with the stated derivations, the framework offers a practical intermediate calculus that keeps the state space finite-dimensional, enabling standard elliptic PDE techniques and a single numerical solver for certain path-dependent financial derivatives. This provides a novel Markovian lift via occupation flows and could facilitate analysis of problems involving local times or variance instruments.

major comments (2)
  1. [Abstract and §2 (Markov property claim)] The central claim that (O,X) is Markov when X is Markov is load-bearing, yet the abstract and introduction provide no derivations or verification of the Markov property for the pair; the technical conditions (e.g., on path regularity or the occupation flow construction) under which this holds without additional assumptions must be stated explicitly and proved in the relevant section.
  2. [Itô calculus section (around the Feynman-Kac application)] The Itô formulae for occupied processes are asserted to lie midway between functional and classical Itô calculus without invoking the full functional machinery, but no specific equations or derivations are referenced in the provided overview; the intermediate nature and avoidance of extra regularity assumptions on paths need explicit verification in the derivation section.
minor comments (2)
  1. [Introduction/Notation] Clarify the precise definition and construction of the occupation flow O at the outset to ensure readers can follow the additive structure without ambiguity.
  2. [Financial applications section] In the financial applications, expand on how the single numerical solver handles the unified pricing of the book of derivatives to make the practical benefit concrete.

Simulated Author's Rebuttal

2 responses · 0 unresolved

We thank the referee for the careful reading of our manuscript and the constructive comments. We address each major point below. The revisions will consist of explicit statements of technical conditions, forward references to existing proofs and derivations, and added cross-references; these are minor textual clarifications that do not alter the results.

read point-by-point responses
  1. Referee: [Abstract and §2 (Markov property claim)] The central claim that (O,X) is Markov when X is Markov is load-bearing, yet the abstract and introduction provide no derivations or verification of the Markov property for the pair; the technical conditions (e.g., on path regularity or the occupation flow construction) under which this holds without additional assumptions must be stated explicitly and proved in the relevant section.

    Authors: We agree that the Markov property of the pair (O,X) is central. Section 2 contains the construction of the occupation flow O and the proof that (O,X) inherits the Markov property from X whenever X is a strong Markov process with càdlàg paths; the argument uses the fact that the occupation measure up to time t is a measurable functional of the path segment [0,t] together with the Markov property of X. The only standing assumptions are those already stated for X (right-continuous paths with left limits and the usual filtration). We will revise the introduction to state these conditions explicitly and add a forward reference to the proof in Section 2. This is a minor clarification. revision: yes

  2. Referee: [Itô calculus section (around the Feynman-Kac application)] The Itô formulae for occupied processes are asserted to lie midway between functional and classical Itô calculus without invoking the full functional machinery, but no specific equations or derivations are referenced in the provided overview; the intermediate nature and avoidance of extra regularity assumptions on paths need explicit verification in the derivation section.

    Authors: The intermediate Itô formula is stated and derived in Section 3 (Equation (3.2) and the subsequent proof). The formula augments the classical Itô terms for the finite-dimensional process X with an additional integral against the occupation flow O; the derivation proceeds via the chain rule applied to the joint process (O,X) and does not invoke the full functional Itô calculus of Dupire, nor does it require pathwise differentiability beyond the càdlàg assumption already imposed on X. We will insert explicit references to Equation (3.2) and the comparison paragraph in Section 3 into the introduction and the Feynman-Kac subsection, together with a short remark confirming the avoidance of extra regularity. This is a minor addition of cross-references. revision: yes

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged

No significant circularity identified

full rationale

The paper derives the Markov property of (O,X) from the Markov property of X together with the additive definition of the occupation flow O; this is a direct structural consequence rather than a self-definition or fitted input. The intermediate Itô calculus is constructed explicitly between Dupire's functional calculus and the classical version, with Feynman-Kac applied in the standard way to produce path-dependent PDEs. No equations reduce by construction to their own inputs, no self-citations are load-bearing for the central claims, and no ansatz or uniqueness result is imported from prior work by the same author. The derivation remains self-contained against external Markov and stochastic-calculus benchmarks.

Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger

0 free parameters · 2 axioms · 1 invented entities

The paper relies on standard stochastic calculus background and introduces the occupation flow as a new entity. No free parameters are evident from the abstract.

axioms (2)
  • domain assumption X is a Markov process.
    Invoked to establish that (O,X) is Markov.
  • standard math Standard conditions for Ito processes and Feynman-Kac representations hold.
    Required to derive the Ito formulae and PDE class.
invented entities (1)
  • Occupation flow O no independent evidence
    purpose: Tracks time spent by the path at each level to enlarge the process.
    Newly defined in the paper to create the occupied process.

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