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Primal and dual optimal stopping with signatures

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arxiv 2312.03444 v2 pith:PCQK2NYM submitted 2023-12-06 q-fin.MF math.PR

classification q-fin.MFmath.PR
keywords functionalslinearmethodsnon-markovianapproximationdualformulationoptimal
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abstract

We propose two signature-based methods to solve the optimal stopping problem - that is, to price American options - in non-Markovian frameworks. Both methods rely on a global approximation result for $L^p-$functionals on rough path-spaces, using linear functionals of robust, rough path signatures. In the primal formulation, we present a non-Markovian generalization of the famous Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm, using linear functionals of the signature as regression basis. For the dual formulation, we parametrize the space of square-integrable martingales using linear functionals of the signature, and apply a sample average approximation. We prove convergence for both methods and present first numerical examples in non-Markovian and non-semimartingale regimes.

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  1. Dimension reduction for path signatures

    math.PR 2024-12 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    The authors show that balanced truncation can compress truncated signature systems, used in financial models, from thousands of state variables to dozens with negligible error on the tested examples.

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