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The inclusive Synthetic Control Method

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arxiv 2403.17624 v2 pith:FGVKHKO5 submitted 2024-03-26 econ.EM

classification econ.EM
keywords controlsyntheticdonormethodunitseffectsinclusiveiscm
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We introduce the inclusive synthetic control method (iSCM), a modification of synthetic control methods that includes units in the donor pool potentially affected, directly or indirectly, by an intervention. This method is ideal for situations where including treated units in the donor pool is essential or where donor units may experience spillover effects. The iSCM is straightforward to implement with most synthetic control estimators. As an empirical illustration, we re-estimate the causal effect of German reunification on GDP per capita, accounting for spillover effects from West Germany to Austria.

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  1. Bayesian Donor Set Selection in Synthetic Controls

    stat.ME 2026-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A Gamma–Bernoulli hierarchical prior lets Bayesian synthetic controls select donors and put exact zeros on excluded units while staying on the simplex, with posterior consistency and better recovery of sparse donors i...

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