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Mixed Poisson families with real-valued mixing distributions

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arxiv 2407.17614 v2 pith:EORPOMJJ submitted 2024-07-24 math.PR

classification math.PR
keywords mixingdistributiondistributionsmixedpoissonnonnegativereal-valuedtail
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Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have nonnegative support. We show this assumption is unnecessary and real-valued mixing distributions are also possible. Informally, the mixing distribution merely needs to have a light (subexponential) left tail and a small amount of probability mass on negative values. We provide several concrete examples, including the mixed Poisson-extreme stable family, where the mixing distribution has a power law tail.

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  1. Bernstein Functions at Work: Coalescents, Copulas, and Subordination

    math.PR 2026-07 accept novelty 6.5 of 10

    Three open positivity problems on coalescent block counts, power-divergence copula generators, and special-Bernstein renewal sequences are resolved via Bernstein-function recognition calculus.

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