Daniel Litt's Probability Puzzle

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arxiv 2409.08094 v1 pith:XQKCHVNG submitted 2024-09-12 math.CO

Maura B. Paterson , Douglas R. Stinson This is my paper · ORCID

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keywords daniellittprobabilitypuzzleballs-and-urnsdiscussexpositorynote

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In this expository note, we discuss a ``balls-and-urns'' probability puzzle posed by Daniel Litt.

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A Probability Puzzle
math.HO 2024-12 accept novelty 2.0 of 10

The paper computes P(second red | first red) = 2/3 for Litt's urn puzzle using conditional probability and total probability.