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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms

As of 14 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 5 of 5 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2411.16531.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2411.16531 v3

Coverage vector

measured 5 of 5 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:39.972610Z

measured 5 of 5 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

5 of 5 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy5
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation d421fbc3-291a-4813-b0b0-edff84eed4cc · outbound

This paper cites & Van Den Hoven, J.

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms & Van Den Hoven, J

Reference 1

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:40.220538Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T13:03:39.945643Z digest=sha256:7d4874736ef347f2d1a10a2c09c814d88505250ea45e98ff191603f6cfbeed28

Observation 5204bfbd-7eeb-43a3-ac89-2d140e2bd632 · outbound

This paper cites People tend to only look at the deterministic forecast and discard the uncertainty bounds that are around it which could be quite large.

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms People tend to only look at the deterministic forecast and discard the uncertainty bounds that are around it which could be quite large

Reference 8

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:40.061531Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T13:03:39.972610Z digest=sha256:5391a7b640c02788cc9d1975fb6d679036f35d2e89b4c3e1a40e5cd47bfc665e

Observation 377abfa7-a632-4d88-b116-25ffb2ede993 · outbound

This paper cites (2009), Harming as causing harm, in M.

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms (2009), Harming as causing harm, in M

Reference 29

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:40.147902Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T13:03:39.964527Z digest=sha256:3c8858b557f714dbddd3e413c8dd3f853f675f7b7b5c16c66edf07b0dc5fe0a4

Observation f3089367-98de-422d-a015-57517cef41e8 · outbound

This paper cites & Davis, A.

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms & Davis, A

Reference 963

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:40.207857Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T13:03:39.959438Z digest=sha256:3e1e9778d892810ccfed84bb7b47dc95540fd5980ec54be8c54eb78dea941a9f

Observation ebef6970-98c4-4344-bcc1-1b538acd023c · outbound

This paper cites (2021), ‘Fighting artificial intelligence battles: Operational concepts for future AI-enabled wars’, Network 4(20), 1–100.

Good intentions, unintended consequences: exploring forecasting harms (2021), ‘Fighting artificial intelligence battles: Operational concepts for future AI-enabled wars’, Network 4(20), 1–100

Reference 1725

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-12T13:03:40.075105Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-14T06:32:32.682623+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-12T13:03:39.969046Z digest=sha256:593fa22102431d05f60fa8b90ef888d62a595ba12e0189f72fa7d2c456863d30

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.