Counting two-step nilpotent wildly ramified extensions of function fields

We study the asymptotic distribution of wildly ramified extensions of function fields in characteristic $p > 2$, focusing on (certain) $p$-groups of nilpotency class at most $2$. Rather than the discriminant, we count extensions according to an invariant describing the last jump in the ramification filtration at each place. We prove a local-global principle relating the distribution of extensions over global function fields to their distribution over local fields, leading to an asymptotic formula for the number of extensions with a given global last-jump invariant. A key ingredient is Abrashkin's nilpotent Artin-Schreier theory, which lets us parametrize extensions and obtain bounds on the ramification of local extensions by estimating the number of solutions to certain polynomial equations over finite fields.