Pith. sign in

Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference

As of 4 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 12 of 12 outbound references and 3 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2505.13770.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2505.13770 v3

Coverage vector

measured 12 of 12 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z

measured 15 of 15 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00

measured 3 of 3 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-03T06:14:45.476764Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: pith, observed 2026-07-10T18:15:00.821465Z

Reference resolution

12 of 12 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy9
  • unresolved2
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier1
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 2678aeef-1534-4101-b1da-e55ff4ec3285 · outbound

This paper cites Request Python code for analysis.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Request Python code for analysis

Reference 1

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.185856Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:91da46b4460c92de4ea8e2fe0fee3e69dd0a21c5ea304556feccd5d81eabae95

Observation 96f48d2b-1087-4fe7-8c11-e1751f80d9b4 · outbound

This paper cites HealthPlus.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference HealthPlus

Reference 2

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.166259Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:436e1ec14f780d336cba5e04b522918f3b5e7d2d5467c997b79439669665c6a9

Observation 74e41383-966e-445c-a0f4-6c50f26796ab · outbound

This paper cites HealthPlus.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference HealthPlus

Reference 3

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.173205Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:c7234d8177ad4b900e5e07f2ad43a5205617cca00456a11f4cc0df4acb0fd8f6

Observation 3af57732-4295-489b-92c7-71f346d32563 · outbound

This paper cites HealthPlus.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference HealthPlus

Reference 4

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.169777Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:7f3051b344add5ef6ea40c9b6a0a1ae499714a7502a1b13f7dab3b011a2cbf16

Observation 1b5c22c5-edd1-4385-be49-90f52fdfb782 · outbound

This paper cites UltraSugar.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference UltraSugar

Reference 5

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.155500Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:9de8f46459a413f854de7005b372167669bf293277f60cc965c4ddedaa3ddfdc

Observation 1ed7edd9-f358-4523-8bbe-22d6058ab39a · outbound

This paper cites UltraSugar.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference UltraSugar

Reference 6

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.182780Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:c059cfaa420394e67d543d819b2717165b8fa835c4caa4b05abeada24ca13b00

Observation afe919cc-9c95-46ee-b422-88fa2eb744e4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.158804Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:8511fcf0215fac09aaa23f819c144c1a3563dfe7f5e6e265ba814aa6773644a7

Observation 17be3d57-4bd7-4c2f-8766-2f0256b80f88 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.179769Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:cff69289ab5d819aaad09193dec8cca9272147e8bab0e30c7ad2b2994aaab3ce

Observation aa292f0a-2e27-4c14-a5b8-bd01b1b112b3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
malformed identifier
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.176451Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:d5336c3e35dc589d4a722547d4afdfc7b8aa6cfdd0c474f9aeaf3226f6fcd185

Observation 28d799af-b23f-42cb-b09e-e803b08d34ca · outbound

This paper cites Request Python code for analysis.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Request Python code for analysis

Reference 10

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.152130Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:a5e557e0fd78520723baebe3b95d4dd47619577185ff5a1691304de5d43ab970

Observation 22c3d151-6a7e-49b8-a2d0-22c65ee8e500 · outbound

This paper cites Execute the corrected code.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Execute the corrected code

Reference 11

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.162132Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:f5d9552df4cd76786880970077e883f320fb06afd254efc383ee65a6bbbc3d2d

Observation e747f01a-a1b7-4ac0-a8f9-3770b0a62614 · outbound

This paper cites Symbolic only.

Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference Symbolic only

Reference 12

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-05-22T13:41:37.148330Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-05-22T13:40:54.197967Z digest=sha256:9db34d9f24bac33d1bad00921034349a66a073700057f02e4493b724a4323837

Pith citing papers

Observation 7e943fde-64de-411c-90d5-34d7b7397af5 · inbound

CausalDS: Benchmarking Causal Reasoning in Data-Science Agents cites this paper.

CausalDS: Benchmarking Causal Reasoning in Data-Science Agents Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference

Reference 3

Resolution
verified exact
local_arxiv, observed 2026-07-10T13:17:05.864259Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-04T06:34:03.388597+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-10T13:12:23.903280Z digest=sha256:6b93ab85ada029c55b2076d2b68447bf3b8a2b2b49466afafaa040d6aca135d3

Observation 862cbdc3-21ff-4033-87fa-586e4622bf8b · inbound

Automated Synthesis and Adversarial Validation of Executable Causal Research Pipelines cites this paper.

Automated Synthesis and Adversarial Validation of Executable Causal Research Pipelines Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference

Reference 2

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-01T08:16:47.777702Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-01T08:16:47.777702Z digest=sha256:6efe5ba87a4451ca2b38b17186206e632726c754dbeabe6b2dfa7d0178f4a229

Observation 209f290a-cf87-4a2f-91c8-e8a02f38a1ce · inbound

Evidence-Type Competition: When Can Interventional Data Teach Language Models Causal Direction? cites this paper.

Evidence-Type Competition: When Can Interventional Data Teach Language Models Causal Direction? Ice Cream Doesn't Cause Drowning: Benchmarking LLMs Against Statistical Pitfalls in Causal Inference

Reference 2025

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-03T06:14:45.476764Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-03T06:14:45.476764Z digest=sha256:59994bdf32aa6daf5c76ebfa37b2109fa6d953600a379568966a59c001083fad