Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators

As of 6 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 16 of 16 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2603.16346.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2603.16346 v3

Coverage vector

measured 16 of 16 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

measured 16 of 16 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

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measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

16 of 16 outbound references displayed

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verified fuzzy0
unresolved13
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External citation measurements

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Outbound references

Observation a3b87310-67ce-4ff1-ae02-50dfdfc2ce23 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 15f6a9f8-cdd9-4198-9e02-cf405efbf434 · outbound

This paper cites While ENSO is considered the dominant predictor of ISMR (Gowariker et al., 1989; Rajeevan, 2001; Rajeevan et al., 2004; Rajeevan & Pai, 2007; Thapliyal & Kulshrestha S.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators While ENSO is considered the dominant predictor of ISMR (Gowariker et al., 1989; Rajeevan, 2001; Rajeevan et al., 2004; Rajeevan & Pai, 2007; Thapliyal & Kulshrestha S

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 45607e6d-b60d-4544-a88b-105bc00abfca · outbound

This paper cites Kumar et al., 2007; X.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Kumar et al., 2007; X

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 19088bdd-4f67-42c1-8077-2f700a3236a0 · outbound

This paper cites First, ISMR predictability is always underestimated due to ‘climate noise’ in Niño 3.4, making it unsuitable for long-lead predictions.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators First, ISMR predictability is always underestimated due to ‘climate noise’ in Niño 3.4, making it unsuitable for long-lead predictions

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 7c91ba33-2b51-46da-99d9-093762a1d1f2 · outbound

This paper cites Further, we show that not only is ISMR more strongly coupled to G-ENSO than to Pacific ENSO, but also that EMR is not changing as perceived earlier.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Further, we show that not only is ISMR more strongly coupled to G-ENSO than to Pacific ENSO, but also that EMR is not changing as perceived earlier

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation b7c2266a-ed20-46ae-b7d7-2aa19814da17 · outbound

This paper cites 7 The Niño 3.4 index, a measure of estimating the strength of the Pacific ENSO is measured using SST anomalies averaged over 170°W-120°W, 5°S-5°N.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators 7 The Niño 3.4 index, a measure of estimating the strength of the Pacific ENSO is measured using SST anomalies averaged over 170°W-120°W, 5°S-5°N

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 26bb5a36-1174-44fd-b052-9436be057842 · outbound

This paper cites In this backdrop, high potential predictability at 18-month lead may seem counterintuitive.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators In this backdrop, high potential predictability at 18-month lead may seem counterintuitive

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 7e772e8d-b05c-4b5b-811a-9f2cfcadc02d · outbound

This paper cites (g-j) Scatter plot of ISMR with Sp(0), Dp(0), Dp(-5), and Dp(-18), respectively.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators (g-j) Scatter plot of ISMR with Sp(0), Dp(0), Dp(-5), and Dp(-18), respectively

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 7c5521f8-f88d-4b22-ae99-6ee4445a06a7 · outbound

This paper cites Lag synchronization occurs when the states of two dynamical systems become nearly identical but are separated by a finite time delay, such that Y(t) ≈ X(t-�).

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Lag synchronization occurs when the states of two dynamical systems become nearly identical but are separated by a finite time delay, such that Y(t) ≈ X(t-�)

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation c62bac13-7829-4953-b2db-6b00f016aee2 · outbound

This paper cites Figure 3: G-ENSO-ISMR relationship in a warming climate.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Figure 3: G-ENSO-ISMR relationship in a warming climate

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation b1a89b57-746a-4de4-9e1e-dc258771cd52 · outbound

This paper cites Regional SST-based predictors such as the IOD, PDO, and Atlantic Niño, often assumed independent of ENSO, have also been used as ISMR predictors at various leads.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Regional SST-based predictors such as the IOD, PDO, and Atlantic Niño, often assumed independent of ENSO, have also been used as ISMR predictors at various leads

Reference 11

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-13T23:50:05.456904Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation afbc2433-4534-45b2-b5ac-9edb3bc29d88 · outbound

This paper cites https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0395.1 Kinter, J.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0395.1 Kinter, J

Reference 12

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-13T23:50:05.451282Z

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No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Observation 99ccb6c2-7705-48fb-88bd-0d5a440fec62 · outbound

This paper cites Retrieved from https://www.tropmet.res.in/~kolli/MOL/Monsoon/year2005/imdlrfmodel.pdf Rajeevan, M., Bhate, J., & Jaswal, A.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators Retrieved from https://www.tropmet.res.in/~kolli/MOL/Monsoon/year2005/imdlrfmodel.pdf Rajeevan, M., Bhate, J., & Jaswal, A

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation bf93c336-e741-4b7d-8b62-15b63c85736d · outbound

This paper cites potential skill.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators potential skill

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation a93ec105-76cf-469c-bc26-0b863fb70070 · outbound

This paper cites The conclusions qualitatively remain unchanged if we use different SST and rainfall data sets.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators The conclusions qualitatively remain unchanged if we use different SST and rainfall data sets

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T23:49:59.407497Z

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Observation 5a889475-2d0b-4bb7-b984-936569e16eba · outbound

This paper cites potential skill.

Resolving the Paradox of Changing El Ni\~no-Monsoon Relation through Synchronization of Chaotic Oscillators potential skill

Reference 16

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-07-13T23:50:05.465811Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-05T06:32:48.257954+00:00.

Pith citing papers

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