Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities

As of 2 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 39 of 39 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2604.03920.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2604.03920 v2

Coverage vector

measured 39 of 39 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

measured 39 of 39 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-02T06:30:47.504484+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

39 of 39 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved39
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation a4b718f5-0e6f-4e2a-801c-c92891d773cb · outbound

This paper cites LLM Social Simulations Are a Promising Research Method.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities LLM Social Simulations Are a Promising Research Method

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9a583c7b-b6a0-4b1e-984a-0f9923927cf6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c06dff12-9f5d-4725-a667-a8344396d3c6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0c8bc9bf-6749-4b3d-9444-c6375697cb02 · outbound

This paper cites Simulation of Language Evolution under Regulated Social Media Platforms: A Synergistic Approach of Large Language Models and Genetic Algorithms.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Simulation of Language Evolution under Regulated Social Media Platforms: A Synergistic Approach of Large Language Models and Genetic Algorithms

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4e728aec-9fac-4b6c-ba50-69ae56231345 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6178fc10-1b7e-406a-ae7f-b74c378c713d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 19cd2dc6-5269-4b95-b8e9-2c2dd52ec7c4 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3ed2b429-ce4a-4d41-9ecd-38b811350f9b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4922fd85-546d-4c77-8b36-326b19a376fc · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8abebe6c-2afe-4379-a6ed-2bd01b13bb9e · outbound

This paper cites The Wisdom of Partisan Crowds: Comparing Collective Intelligence in Humans and LLM-based Agents.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities The Wisdom of Partisan Crowds: Comparing Collective Intelligence in Humans and LLM-based Agents

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 709590b2-ad50-4075-82d0-27d210bc2bfe · outbound

This paper cites MoltNet: Understanding Social Behavior of AI Agents in the Agent-Native MoltBook.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities MoltNet: Understanding Social Behavior of AI Agents in the Agent-Native MoltBook

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f7420336-0259-4f83-b0d0-47adc4dfe07f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 65543a13-7d0e-4de1-af58-d7dc4b704eec · outbound

This paper cites Uncovering the Internet's Hidden Values: An Empirical Study of Desirable Behavior Using Highly-Upvoted Content on Reddit.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Uncovering the Internet's Hidden Values: An Empirical Study of Desirable Behavior Using Highly-Upvoted Content on Reddit

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 39ae472e-983e-496a-ae1d-7fc7c320e194 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e38082eb-a2b3-4cc0-9b1b-9b5427c15f03 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b6e19031-2005-400d-94ed-f3de48679f3a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation eeb676ca-86a8-49a6-bc34-f8a8fbac1300 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 858a0785-e6e9-4559-9457-546f7e46b294 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8855d11e-ddf7-4629-99fd-c1b811f1051e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e16f19ec-5f39-4632-8e92-1af797d46e46 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6b819948-3f77-49c5-bf40-04411eedf4d4 · outbound

This paper cites 2012.Building successful online communities: Evidence-based social design.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities 2012.Building successful online communities: Evidence-based social design

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a2a02651-2629-485a-8ef7-1fac5fb39094 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f4822ef8-067a-436d-9bd0-772796c8de70 · outbound

This paper cites Posi- tive reinforcement helps breed positive behavior.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Posi- tive reinforcement helps breed positive behavior

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fec4ef89-aeb4-475e-ab79-763e0d33d744 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fbbe0422-c6b4-4337-b30e-bf142234f0c6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cf32089b-09eb-413e-83bf-9fe1f9db5236 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9474093c-1590-4a8d-8bb9-20f4ad0c2e48 · outbound

This paper cites Le, Salman Rahman, Elisa Kreiss, Marzyeh Ghassemi, and Saadia Gabriel.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Le, Salman Rahman, Elisa Kreiss, Marzyeh Ghassemi, and Saadia Gabriel

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9baabad2-d3ee-49ad-96ac-cf6d13f9278f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2724a259-ba2b-4c08-a73f-7e190f23534e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7cee3893-33ae-40d5-9e67-498a66274905 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 313295fb-addd-4121-a956-380ea9d3709d · outbound

This paper cites LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fc979c83-281e-4627-8e8d-4ba8e88da3a4 · outbound

This paper cites 2009.Causality.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities 2009.Causality

Reference 32

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8d97495a-5014-4f07-8472-fc1dbb58a005 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c1e80fc0-e27e-4d3d-807c-f66ea979a6d9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8238a08e-ef88-4abf-806f-efe81f879284 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 953312ef-d6a5-471d-aa9f-08d0f16f3eb6 · outbound

This paper cites 2017.The reflective practitioner: How professionals think in action.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities 2017.The reflective practitioner: How professionals think in action

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c237bc31-c6b5-413e-879c-2278cdd4098f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation edd02251-55b7-4018-b883-a1aa6ccc31a3 · outbound

This paper cites OASIS: Open Agent Social Interaction Simulations with One Million Agents.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities OASIS: Open Agent Social Interaction Simulations with One Million Agents

Reference 38

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5a560e6c-be4c-478a-8199-9f7e855ba9b7 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

From Plausible to Causal: Counterfactual Semantics for Policy Evaluation in Simulated Online Communities Unresolved cited work

Reference 39

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-07-13T12:01:38.321686Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.