Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs

As of 25 July 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 30 of 30 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2606.09876.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2606.09876 v1

Coverage vector

measured 30 of 30 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

measured 30 of 30 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-07-24T06:31:00.690269+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

30 of 30 outbound references displayed

verified exact2
verified fuzzy0
unresolved27
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch1

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 33c06c00-73a6-48b3-9b22-ee62dddb585a · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , eprint=

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7a4fcdc3-ddbc-4fb8-b3f1-8a9c01711e6a · outbound

This paper cites 2017 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2017 , eprint=

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 5827cad6-0d29-4def-8f5a-f497adc24f88 · outbound

This paper cites 2022 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2022 , eprint=

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c3d467f7-0416-4963-bd7d-5d3aa3d31bc7 · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1fc341f7-e3b3-4953-8a2e-999c21a5edd4 · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , journal =.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , journal =

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8c0547d9-5116-4e40-9dae-7f54b9662b1f · outbound

This paper cites A Survey of Con- fidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs A Survey of Con- fidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models

Reference 6

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-06-28T10:31:59.878048Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-07-24T06:31:00.690269+00:00.

Observation d6bdcfd0-36a3-444e-9bf4-77d34ff2f5ac · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 9eccd816-c740-48c0-ad43-8565bf27a20e · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , eprint=

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 46594f9e-2532-42eb-a521-dcac929fdf9b · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0d492e10-1d1f-4e68-9bdc-a990ceed3b27 · outbound

This paper cites Can Activation Steering Generalize Across Languages? A Study on Syllogistic Reasoning in Language Models.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Can Activation Steering Generalize Across Languages? A Study on Syllogistic Reasoning in Language Models

Reference 10

Resolution: verified exact; doi, observed 2026-06-28T10:31:59.874823Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-07-24T06:31:00.690269+00:00.

Observation 625ae550-c3b3-49ba-a919-2e567639d171 · outbound

This paper cites 2026 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2026 , eprint=

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c3b36993-31ed-4046-b807-e1f79caf14ef · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , eprint=

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ca284c6a-0c5d-4d6f-9921-12e256fa7d71 · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , eprint=

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d04936a3-c8cf-47bd-99ce-6cdca2a370e2 · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ebfb15ee-8da6-47f1-a10f-1f2da4753354 · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f0fd1050-44d9-43c1-b1dc-b03116414b8d · outbound

This paper cites 2026 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2026 , eprint=

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 64bb873f-e1ed-4930-8ff9-ba038f5435ba · outbound

This paper cites 2026 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2026 , eprint=

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ce49315c-0253-4254-9321-7c2c6ca05870 · outbound

This paper cites 2025 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2025 , eprint=

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 53529a23-7fdc-430c-a4a2-21f652ea8349 · outbound

This paper cites Gemma 3 , url=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Gemma 3 , url=

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c170c9dc-95e6-48a2-b1aa-e3c45875af08 · outbound

This paper cites 2022 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2022 , eprint=

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0d27cb0f-14d6-4a47-8b6e-353c6e898101 · outbound

This paper cites 2022 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2022 , eprint=

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dc94b1ce-c0d5-482c-a614-8e8c94735f04 · outbound

This paper cites Ghassemi.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Ghassemi

Reference 22

Resolution: metadata mismatch; doi, observed 2026-06-28T10:31:59.880027Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-07-24T06:31:00.690269+00:00.

Observation 78e911e1-e0a5-4f71-aaae-8fc9032f237a · outbound

This paper cites 2023 , eprint=.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2023 , eprint=

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation efd2cebc-b691-4f9a-8c5b-1fc4e315b4d6 · outbound

This paper cites 2024 , url =.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs 2024 , url =

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fa56ee30-345f-4e18-895f-9820e0cc67cc · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of EMNLP , year =.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Proceedings of EMNLP , year =

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1e4b163b-4c2c-4174-b9b8-8539eec89227 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Unresolved cited work

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a7d89936-b403-40c3-a950-e6d5a2b1ce0a · outbound

This paper cites Interpreting.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Interpreting

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4b712a4f-b5a1-48ee-8c7d-bd2896dee4f4 · outbound

This paper cites Transformer Circuits Thread , year =.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Transformer Circuits Thread , year =

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 4f6079da-07ca-4103-859a-4376c4403b24 · outbound

This paper cites Interpretability in the Wild: A Circuit for Indirect Object Identification in.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Interpretability in the Wild: A Circuit for Indirect Object Identification in

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e2442442-f95f-4664-a1f9-2dda9702f944 · outbound

This paper cites Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the.

Calibrating Overconfidence Without Sacrificing Confidence: Probe-Conditioned Head Intervention for LLMs Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-06-28T10:24:52.574253Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.