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Review history

arxiv: 2607.12248 · 2 revisions

When Directional Accuracy Lies: A Base-Rate-Honest Benchmark for LoRA-Adapted TimesFM on Equity Forecasting

1. 2026-08-02 CONDITIONAL HIGH v1.3.0-alltime-deepseek novelty 5.0
   97674 ms 6364 in 10484 out 2026-08-02T06:35:38.992869+00:00
2. 2026-07-15 CONDITIONAL LOW v1.1.0-grok45 novelty 5.0
   21355 ms 6257 in 2667 out 2026-07-15T00:43:05.770178+00:00