Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets

As of 7 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 51 of 51 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.20441.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2607.20441 v1

Coverage vector

measured 51 of 51 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:34.020372Z

measured 51 of 51 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

51 of 51 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved51
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation e4b41ef0-ecea-4a9e-946c-067cd2194fc9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.190308Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 92d50e01-6132-4cf1-8956-0ff591306f06 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.234211Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 92de3cf5-5473-4f53-af00-30737c2b504a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.294845Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 43ab3f9e-8561-438b-ad3a-7ab0e8e9d7e3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.355449Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ca4c5d30-5f85-41a1-b16d-68943177f4c6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.413594Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0d711127-8c8f-4e21-986b-9fdc41d783a1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.476463Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation dac61fc2-4a7f-43a9-b585-8712bf4a3a83 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.537599Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7ea029b7-92cf-4301-a9ef-ffdd16b5be27 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.590568Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ff2d72d5-65ec-473f-829a-82ac996b6d90 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.704177Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cba315f1-83ab-4d83-9738-022f855f48d1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.762889Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation de6a885a-7a5c-4d33-b277-21719d791a5d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.863961Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1e24e84f-e304-4741-bc0d-5024a5448f5e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:30.948381Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 79acd068-a96d-41c3-a763-3c8ea68cb143 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.012236Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fe881dbd-0318-4131-bd8c-a65eb5ed9546 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.075352Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e380719a-81dc-4a3e-9252-d826f9aea361 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.158346Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a03eee03-3c34-4294-b0e3-a5e768f4e633 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.214098Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7ac93470-e445-40c0-8b9d-25cba877a805 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.310796Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fc359cbd-8aa2-45d2-ba68-db73bc2aefb8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.379222Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation c39ad5d6-cfc6-4b45-8d7a-58e4fefe30ab · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 2022 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing , pages=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Proceedings of the 2022 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing , pages=

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.466386Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 485b5ca6-463a-4caa-bea1-5ec9cd9c252e · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 62nd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) , year=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Proceedings of the 62nd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 1: Long Papers) , year=

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.534252Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation ec7e4064-2151-4571-896e-dce08747befc · outbound

This paper cites Science , volume=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Science , volume=

Reference 22

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.643882Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 51528ae3-f8f8-4151-b596-a5a60e463cd4 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Communication , volume=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Journal of Communication , volume=

Reference 23

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.726345Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8403258c-ac6c-4753-af9e-67375a56056a · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics , pages=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics , pages=

Reference 24

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.810478Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 16da0fb8-0bff-450d-bd03-4ce1f335bb0c · outbound

This paper cites Projections of Power: Framing News, Public Opinion, and.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Projections of Power: Framing News, Public Opinion, and

Reference 25

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.883795Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 41e8d425-1cd2-4270-b500-1e744827ab3e · outbound

This paper cites From Pretraining Data to Language Models to Downstream Tasks: Tracking the Trails of Political Biases Leading to Unfair.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets From Pretraining Data to Language Models to Downstream Tasks: Tracking the Trails of Political Biases Leading to Unfair

Reference 26

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:31.949827Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 00949148-3c68-4890-a9c5-dde8da2f7281 · outbound

This paper cites Computational Linguistics , volume=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Computational Linguistics , volume=

Reference 27

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.027465Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 060296a4-80f7-4893-b085-bf313ae52b47 · outbound

This paper cites Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models

Reference 28

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.101137Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation fe025de9-13e5-4e8d-bb76-cf02dd9896d7 · outbound

This paper cites Framing the War in.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Framing the War in

Reference 29

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.184245Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 0e931665-1716-4c42-9f1c-177e5f4f8765 · outbound

This paper cites How Multilingual is Multilingual.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets How Multilingual is Multilingual

Reference 30

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.245859Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 98712632-05d5-4195-9a86-e1205ab47535 · outbound

This paper cites Ukrainian.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Ukrainian

Reference 31

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.300246Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d22e8f0c-3c9d-4e1e-89de-9f4307d965a2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 32

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.304065Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f82e5739-a6ce-47ac-9008-ad73fb83c95f · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Political Economy , volume=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Journal of Political Economy , volume=

Reference 33

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.375786Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8bb3c617-3f76-4759-9435-9ebec12a1aa2 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Economic Perspectives , volume=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Journal of Economic Perspectives , volume=

Reference 34

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.502092Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation edf6c722-a510-4e87-a321-bbd19da82c81 · outbound

This paper cites 2006 , number=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets 2006 , number=

Reference 35

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.600688Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 05289571-3d8b-4a37-9e65-5f981d1d4b04 · outbound

This paper cites Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024 , year=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: ACL 2024 , year=

Reference 36

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.695769Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 63fb7cdb-8137-42c0-af97-31ea355a0efd · outbound

This paper cites Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , year=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems , year=

Reference 37

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.771664Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 68a15266-fd88-460d-9d18-9b9701857168 · outbound

This paper cites International Conference on Learning Representations , year=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets International Conference on Learning Representations , year=

Reference 38

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.873939Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 98073ffe-7f60-4bee-9013-34a0c4887c6f · outbound

This paper cites An Evaluation of.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets An Evaluation of

Reference 39

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:32.948531Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation d98fefcc-ff5c-4021-b72b-87dd53d77911 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 40

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.048038Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2e97bb91-1c42-4962-9a58-51e335d51ace · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 2020 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing , pages=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Proceedings of the 2020 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing , pages=

Reference 41

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.159579Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f5cdbaa3-a065-4131-bed7-963b6d96404f · outbound

This paper cites Proceedings of the 53rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics , pages=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Proceedings of the 53rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics , pages=

Reference 42

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.234275Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 7340de8b-5f21-4ae1-a5bd-82a547bdf154 · outbound

This paper cites Introducing.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Introducing

Reference 43

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.311200Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 53223ffb-bb79-4bc1-9d4a-0bef6a86d111 · outbound

This paper cites Framing and Agenda-Setting in.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Framing and Agenda-Setting in

Reference 44

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.388586Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 1fc01b34-d0ef-49ca-9354-5eea8770ce12 · outbound

This paper cites A Contemporary News Corpus of.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets A Contemporary News Corpus of

Reference 45

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.465402Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6e141758-4b1e-4c0b-ace8-75a18cca75e5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 46

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.553678Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation b220a79b-60d1-4adc-a3ae-c588124637cd · outbound

This paper cites From Bytes to Borsch: Fine-tuning.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets From Bytes to Borsch: Fine-tuning

Reference 47

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.630430Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 142c46de-876a-4432-a26e-01ca93fb1fce · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 48

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.684580Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 130935de-f766-4294-928b-5698a7da0fe0 · outbound

This paper cites War on Frames: Text Mining of Conflict in.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets War on Frames: Text Mining of Conflict in

Reference 49

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.752477Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a013ff4d-e2f6-4c2b-8cda-00c5a7c4e804 · outbound

This paper cites An Explanation of In-context Learning as Implicit.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets An Explanation of In-context Learning as Implicit

Reference 50

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.843717Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 05c805e7-fe9d-4d99-b10d-2b178da6a7e9 · outbound

This paper cites International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets International Conference on Machine Learning , pages=

Reference 51

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:33.949520Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation bd4f51d7-b6ce-4c78-9d03-ca53d785f123 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Belief Propagation in LLM World Models: Measuring Strategic Information Bias with Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 52

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-02T14:21:34.020372Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.