Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets

As of 18 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 21 of 21 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2608.00666.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2608.00666 v1

Coverage vector

measured 21 of 21 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.549244Z

measured 21 of 21 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-18T06:34:40.430872+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

21 of 21 outbound references displayed

verified exact0
verified fuzzy0
unresolved21
parse uncertain0
malformed identifier0
metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 46ddd92a-f6a3-46c6-afda-267e2d24ee80 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 1

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:47.814450Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 740b7a91-c67d-444b-8024-b011eb8b58f0 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 2

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:47.885162Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 582fea2f-35c4-41eb-ba04-e2204401f749 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 3

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:47.991780Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 600e22c2-82be-427b-8c85-4b07b94e80d2 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.063799Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 8cbbfab2-97bc-4f4d-8dbe-f78c923ec8b9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.133082Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 333c8739-29bd-4ae5-9f7a-2da7c5d2da4c · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 6

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.203395Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 33c28a4e-7cda-42dd-a2d3-6b140b4ace62 · outbound

This paper cites Information Systems Fron- tiers5(1), 107–119 (2003).

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Information Systems Fron- tiers5(1), 107–119 (2003)

Reference 7

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.265921Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 65e169d9-310c-46e1-8cde-43a880738c78 · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Prediction Markets1(1), 3–15 (2007).

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Journal of Prediction Markets1(1), 3–15 (2007)

Reference 8

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.371311Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation a636a68a-bbf4-4598-ac3a-471b8c50428f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.468093Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2940edf7-581d-4d69-be0e-0603e12f78ca · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.553996Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation f445a7a1-0b66-4a54-b096-9cb51ef83b9b · outbound

This paper cites pmxt.dev/docs/v2-data-overview(2026), accessed: 2026-07-03.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets pmxt.dev/docs/v2-data-overview(2026), accessed: 2026-07-03

Reference 11

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.697284Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6064a841-4481-4231-a27e-37156a1b61fb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.782087Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 2aec64aa-3207-4316-90c5-246c62001f72 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.878459Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation cc69f850-1aa7-4c45-b782-5328c868b2bc · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:48.943479Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 92b43992-64a4-41d0-bfc4-74e9cda3210f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 15

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.009949Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 892848c2-0ab3-4287-a089-f0b9b9fdcb3e · outbound

This paper cites The Journal of Finance52(1), 35–55 (1997).https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets The Journal of Finance52(1), 35–55 (1997).https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb03807.x

Reference 16

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.105217Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 32ef7f38-f85d-4711-8a26-b8342204fe33 · outbound

This paper cites presidential election (2026).

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets presidential election (2026)

Reference 17

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.156659Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 44411089-28c1-48f1-9a18-9aa7d20022c5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 18

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.218314Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 3f872c4f-76a7-472c-9b51-e109f10bf20f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 19

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.316414Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation 6f82702d-341c-46c0-91b7-78e1f47fb61e · outbound

This paper cites Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(2), 107–126 (2004).

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(2), 107–126 (2004)

Reference 20

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.457315Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Observation e4cc364b-1a4a-4427-898d-82b46ab83c7d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Executable Arbitrage and Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution: unresolved; no resolver link, observed 2026-08-04T01:01:49.549244Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.