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Post-selection Inference in Regression Models for Group Testing Data

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arxiv 2504.11767 v1 pith:2AHK72W4 submitted 2025-04-16 stat.ME

classification stat.ME
keywords inferenceselectionvariabledatapost-selectionmethodologyregressionresponses
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We develop methodology for valid inference after variable selection in logistic regression when the responses are partially observed, that is, when one observes a set of error-prone testing outcomes instead of the true values of the responses. Aiming at selecting important covariates while accounting for missing information in the response data, we apply the expectation-maximization algorithm to compute maximum likelihood estimators subject to LASSO penalization. Subsequent to variable selection, we make inferences on the selected covariate effects by extending post-selection inference methodology based on the polyhedral lemma. Empirical evidence from our extensive simulation study suggests that our post-selection inference results are more reliable than those from naive inference methods that use the same data to perform variable selection and inference without adjusting for variable selection.

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