On the Bauer-Furuta and Seiberg-Witten invariants of families of $4$-manifolds

We show how the families Seiberg-Witten invariants of a family of smooth $4$-manifolds can be recovered from the families Bauer-Furuta invariant via a cohomological formula. We use this formula to deduce several properties of the families Seiberg-Witten invariants. We give a formula for the Steenrod squares of the families Seiberg-Witten invariants leading to a series of mod $2$ relations between these invariants and the Chern classes of the spin$^c$ index bundle of the family. As a result we discover a new aspect of the ordinary Seiberg-Witten invariants of a $4$-manifold $X$: they obstruct the existence of certain families of $4$-manifolds with fibres diffeomorphic to $X$. As a concrete geometric application, we shall detect a non-smoothable family of $K3$ surfaces. Our formalism also leads to a simple new proof of the families wall crossing formula. Lastly, we introduce $K$-theoretic Seiberg-Witten invariants and give a formula expressing the Chern character of the $K$-theoretic Seiberg-Witten invariants in terms of the cohomological Seiberg-Witten invariants. This leads to new divisibility properties of the families Seiberg-Witten invariants.