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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score

As of 16 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 23 of 23 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:1908.08980.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
1908.08980 v1

Coverage vector

measured 23 of 23 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.151860Z

measured 23 of 23 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

23 of 23 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy14
  • unresolved9
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 6227479d-e52c-46e7-b07b-ad3f2267924d · outbound

This paper cites Kaur, Predictive analysis and modelling football results using machine learning approach for english premier league, International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (2), 741–755, 2019.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Kaur, Predictive analysis and modelling football results using machine learning approach for english premier league, International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (2), 741–755, 2019

Reference 1

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.452625Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation 7f7392cd-4a4c-46e8-8a96-b572ba1fb5dd · outbound

This paper cites M., Expected information as expected utility, the Annals of Statistics, pp.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score M., Expected information as expected utility, the Annals of Statistics, pp

Reference 2

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.441681Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.070397Z digest=sha256:8e982b43fbe6b1f3ce88c2915702208d7e212f1d3fe1db8009bdb5eecce0b9f3

Observation 37a5b216-ef4b-42c1-b445-9d43740ad577 · outbound

This paper cites W., Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability, Monthly weather review, 78 (1), 1–3, 1950.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score W., Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability, Monthly weather review, 78 (1), 1–3, 1950

Reference 3

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.430191Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation d45fe2f2-6dde-4f82-a901-17e4f51a43c2 · outbound

This paper cites C., and N.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score C., and N

Reference 4

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verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.418154Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.078965Z digest=sha256:9336edfa5025d4417dd4ea7c0e3aa28f1e3beec5d0865ee290e1edf8a883c53e

Observation 3e66ee92-8cd5-4fbc-a492-e65ccde9bc0b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.407204Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.083111Z digest=sha256:53530a8d12031ab45bcbf0ad0cb670977378f5ad266d637c303d2ed1806fc967

Observation c5af8cf2-46bf-4768-9f25-e278fed2f8da · outbound

This paper cites S., A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 8 (6), 985–987, 1969.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score S., A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 8 (6), 985–987, 1969

Reference 6

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.396035Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.087520Z digest=sha256:3a57f3b7da6ab655d55f5cd489b555ee81be100f6324a0d5a8792e20a3f51a49

Observation f92a1781-a6c1-452b-acb5-faa91e514833 · outbound

This paper cites Goddard, and R.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Goddard, and R

Reference 7

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.382534Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.091988Z digest=sha256:f07315058fec40d2ad9cf5546587a934144dfbcf02b2c805252c06b6a80f42e4

Observation 83b85a62-4957-41b7-8cdb-2788d7d7ece6 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 8

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.371410Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation 37c77ca4-d22c-483b-b0d1-da69708f4594 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.360005Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.100111Z digest=sha256:4ee39a7efbb7d66a46bce779875f1e4bf616f3c159f462f810e1fc3de90bb902

Observation 17ea1870-3456-4636-93f4-9990be8fdefd · outbound

This paper cites J., Rational decisions, in Breakthroughs in statistics , pp.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score J., Rational decisions, in Breakthroughs in statistics , pp

Reference 10

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.348486Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation 8ae439eb-4fe8-4155-a2ff-7e036336edb1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 11

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unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.336753Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation 3305ffeb-c113-4849-a157-d45b4a8b0555 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 12

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.323856Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.112147Z digest=sha256:b4cd30c420315e60282bde1f0f6c9baead354947593885b0774f95517c8577e3

Observation d335c20d-e57b-4b71-a9f4-03bbc1a84efb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.312983Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.115882Z digest=sha256:658a01e1ebba765bbe52184791b4538d9fe69706aec4a88e690d880b01f9336e

Observation 3f74e242-826b-4c08-87eb-45001b6de3a4 · outbound

This paper cites J., and R.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score J., and R

Reference 14

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.299110Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.119695Z digest=sha256:d317e12f0ab4a2bf8e188a290b7997b44d0b6f57377f05136afc3feea989f461

Observation 7f55e9b3-1551-4a76-98f4-3b1bc50d0bc1 · outbound

This paper cites thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science, 2016.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science, 2016

Reference 15

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.285976Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.123340Z digest=sha256:8e8e10244ecc4e73db408ec62507f65f97f3b3a971fdbb08326cbb1d1b22a6ab

Observation 32414e4a-d1d4-4e43-be24-15446e2bd7b3 · outbound

This paper cites H., The ranked probability score and the probability score: A comparison, weather, 81, 82, 1970.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score H., The ranked probability score and the probability score: A comparison, weather, 81, 82, 1970

Reference 16

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.272250Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.127120Z digest=sha256:4eaf2bb3d3a6dd27403e76012e506a2a62e1e82e337bb8deade943e0ab488a55

Observation 65fb8897-b14b-4b1e-8c08-97cef49c99f5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 17

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.259605Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.131008Z digest=sha256:11c76223a984225c15342c130ab09659d03cca21d06f4abd70aba22ca63e995b

Observation f28c2aef-aa17-4b17-a58a-62f7cc0e4d97 · outbound

This paper cites S., and L.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score S., and L

Reference 18

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.247252Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.134804Z digest=sha256:57e7d6a3fdb20d34132f24759259dd2a67c67135f1e2814c4cf198b42eea3987

Observation 41f81be2-9ade-47c2-b526-d4802b0be471 · outbound

This paper cites Groll, and G.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Groll, and G

Reference 19

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.234631Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation b93ada1f-db29-4171-8e8e-42dc12e0fb0a · outbound

This paper cites Strobel, and H.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Strobel, and H

Reference 20

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.220675Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.141605Z digest=sha256:9221b49bb20b08ae272623c33b87329930d42bf4cfb01d8f75e7e4b1f95c7ae4

Observation 0071c848-57a8-4c7a-9452-3bd375720444 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.208607Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Observation 33085471-42ca-4ec1-b599-6fc85672ffd5 · outbound

This paper cites Ng, One match to go!, Significance, 6 (4), 151– 153, 2009.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Ng, One match to go!, Significance, 6 (4), 151– 153, 2009

Reference 22

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.195773Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-08-14T11:31:42.148730Z digest=sha256:e237279e164a19fcf0248700b229bf81d338029cbc98d479e9daae5bec6f441f

Observation 7c948a0d-be74-4e4c-8bcc-f29cfc241bde · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution
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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-14T11:31:42.183552Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-16T06:30:59.297886+00:00.

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Pith citing papers

No inbound Pith citation observations are available.