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Potential of ChatGPT in predicting stock market trends based on Twitter Sentiment Analysis

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arxiv 2311.06273 v1 pith:6CDMY6P5 submitted 2023-10-13 q-fin.ST

classification q-fin.ST
keywords chatgptstockmarketsentimentanalysispositivetechtrends
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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The rise of ChatGPT has brought a notable shift to the AI sector, with its exceptional conversational skills and deep grasp of language. Recognizing its value across different areas, our study investigates ChatGPT's capacity to predict stock market movements using only social media tweets and sentiment analysis. We aim to see if ChatGPT can tap into the vast sentiment data on platforms like Twitter to offer insightful predictions about stock trends. We focus on determining if a tweet has a positive, negative, or neutral effect on two big tech giants Microsoft and Google's stock value. Our findings highlight a positive link between ChatGPT's evaluations and the following days stock results for both tech companies. This research enriches our view on ChatGPT's adaptability and emphasizes the growing importance of AI in shaping financial market forecasts.

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Cited by 1 Pith paper

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Reasoning or Overthinking: Evaluating Large Language Models on Financial Sentiment Analysis

    cs.CL 2025-06 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    On financial sentiment classification, zero-shot LLMs match human labels better without chain-of-thought reasoning than with it.

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