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A buyer's guide to the Hubble Constant
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abstract
Since the expansion of the universe was first established by Edwin Hubble and Georges Lemaitre about a century ago, the Hubble constant H0 which measures its rate has been of great interest to astronomers. Besides being interesting in its own right, few properties of the universe can be deduced without it. In the last decade a significant gap has emerged between different methods of measuring it, some anchored in the nearby universe, others at cosmological distances. The SH0ES team has found $H_0 = 73.2 \pm 1.3$ km sec$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$ locally, whereas the value found for the early universe by the Planck Collaboration is $H_0 = 67.4 \pm 0.5$ km sec$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$ from measurements of the cosmic microwave background. Is this gap a sign that the well-established $\Lambda$CDM cosmological model is somehow incomplete? Or are there unknown systematics? And more practically, how should humble astronomers pick between competing claims if they need to assume a value for a certain purpose? In this article, we review results and what changes to the cosmological model could be needed to accommodate them all. For astronomers in a hurry, we provide a buyer's guide to the results, and make recommendations.
Forward citations
Cited by 10 Pith papers
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A Quantitative Framework for Testing the Hubble Tension in a Bianchi Type I Cosmological Background
An analytic weak-shear Bianchi I calculation bounds the low-redshift luminosity-distance quadrupole to |Aμ(0.15)|≲2.4×10^-11 mag under BBN shear limits, ruling out shear-only resolution of the Hubble tension.
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A Simulation Based Inference Approach to Modelling of Type Ia Supernova Populations
A simulation-based inference pipeline (Stjörnumál) fits SN Ia dust and intrinsic scatter models to DES 5-year data, enabling fast Bayesian model comparison across seven SN Ia population models.
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General Relativistic Entropic Acceleration at the perturbation level: a CLASS implementation and first Boltzmann-code constraints
First full Boltzmann-code implementation of entropic dark energy, with MCMC constraints from CMB+BAO+SN, yields α≈1 and a fit statistically indistinguishable from ΛCDM.
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Hubble tension: the shape wall
Late-time modifications to the expansion history can raise H0 by at most about 2% (conservative) to 3.7% (permissive) if the CMB acoustic scale is fixed.
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Evaporating cosmologically coupled black holes
If a black hole's mass grows with cosmic expansion, Hawking evaporation is slowed or reversed, weakening gamma-ray bounds on primordial black holes.
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BAO miscalibration cannot rescue late-time solutions to the Hubble tension
Even after rescaling BAO data to prefer H0≈73 km/s/Mpc, none of six tested late-time dark-energy models can resolve the Hubble tension once unanchored SNeIa and CMB geometry are included.
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Robust Preference for Dark Sector Interactions
Interacting dark matter–dark energy models fit DESI BAO and CMB data as well as evolving-dark-energy (CPL) models, with a coupling preference that persists under DES-Dovekie supernova recalibration.
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Comparison of $R_h=ct$ and $\Lambda$CDM using DESI DR1 measurements
Using DESI DR1 distance measurements, flat LambdaCDM is decisively preferred over R_h=ct, driven almost entirely by the Lyman-alpha data point at redshift 2.33.
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Late Time Dynamical Dark Energy and the CMB-Distance Ladder Tension
The SNIa absolute-magnitude tension between the distance ladder (−19.204) and CMB+ΛCDM (−19.430) is independent of late-time expansion history, and DESI's w0–wa dark-energy hints shift H0 by only ~0.3–0.4 km/s/Mpc.
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The Hubble tension: A decade review
Pure early or late fixes to the Hubble tension are tightly constrained; remaining options are combined early-late interacting dark energy or new physics at the local-to-homogeneous transition.
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