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Formal Verification and Control with Conformal Prediction

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arxiv 2409.00536 v3 pith:7C3ZINYS submitted 2024-08-31 eess.SY cs.ROcs.SY

classification eess.SYcs.ROcs.SY
keywords verificationcontrolformalleasssurveysystemstechniquesapplying
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal
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We present recent advances in formal verification and control for autonomous systems with practical safety guarantees enabled by conformal prediction (CP), a statistical tool for uncertainty quantification. This survey is particularly motivated by learning-enabled autonomous systems (LEASs), where the complexity of learning-enabled components (LECs) poses a major bottleneck for applying traditional model-based verification and control techniques. To address this challenge, we advocate for CP as a lightweight alternative and demonstrate its use in formal verification, systems and control, and robotics. CP is appealing due to its simplicity (easy to understand, implement, and adapt), generality (requires no assumptions on learned models and underlying data distributions), and efficiency (real-time capable and accurate). This survey provides an accessible introduction to CP for non-experts interested in applying CP to autonomy problems. We particularly show how CP can be used for formal verification of LECs and the design of safe control as well as offline and online verification algorithms for LEASs. We present these techniques within a unifying framework that addresses the complexity of LEASs. Our exposition spans simple specifications, such as robot navigation tasks, to complex mission requirements expressed in temporal logic. Throughout the survey, we contrast CP with other statistical techniques, including scenario optimization and PAC-Bayes theory, highlighting advantages and limitations for verification and control. Finally, we outline open problems and promising directions for future research.

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Cited by 6 Pith papers

Reviewed papers in the Pith corpus that reference this work. Sorted by Pith novelty score. Full citation record

  1. Enhancing Conformal Prediction via Class Similarity

    cs.LG 2025-11 conditional novelty 7.0 of 10

    Adding a class-similarity penalty to conformal scores can shrink prediction sets and reduce the number of semantic groups they span.

  2. pacSTL: PAC-Bounded Signal Temporal Logic from Data-Driven Reachability Analysis

    cs.LO 2025-11 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    pacSTL composes PAC-bounded reachable sets with interval STL to compute spec-level robustness intervals that contain an unseen trajectory's robustness with probability ≥ 1−ε.

  3. Conformal Predictive Monitoring for Multi-Modal Scenarios

    cs.AI 2025-09 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    GenQPM trains a diffusion surrogate of stochastic dynamics, partitions predicted trajectories by mode, and applies class-conditional conformalized quantile regression to issue mode-specific STL robustness intervals.

  4. Multi-Agent Path Finding Among Dynamic Uncontrollable Agents with Statistical Safety Guarantees

    cs.MA 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    CP-Solver integrates conformal prediction intervals into Enhanced Conflict-Based Search to give statistical collision-safety guarantees for multi-agent path finding among dynamic uncontrollable agents.

  5. Conformal Contraction for Robust Nonlinear Control with Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantification

    math.OC 2025-07 conditional novelty 6.0 of 10

    A conformal-prediction-based contraction controller guarantees, with probability 1-alpha, that the tracking error stays below an explicit exponential bound despite unknown nonlinear uncertainty.

  6. Finite-Sample Conformal Coverage Recovery via Fusion under Degraded Local Guarantees in Occupancy Map Estimation

    eess.SY 2026-07 conditional novelty 5.0 of 10

    Averaging per-agent conformal e-values with a per-neighborhood miscoverage budget restores the target coverage α in fused multi-robot occupancy maps under local stationarity and mixing assumptions.

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