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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

As of 7 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 0 of 0 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2411.08324.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2411.08324 v2

Coverage vector

measured 0 of 0 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 2 of 2 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-06-27T09:47:04.122464Z

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.132161Z

Reference resolution

0 of 0 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact0
  • verified fuzzy0
  • unresolved0
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

No outbound reference observations are available for this paper version.

Pith citing papers

Observation 83620d71-1191-41d7-81c9-2878bd9c5b34 · inbound

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning cites this paper.

WorldReasoner: Evaluating Whether Language Model Agents Forecast Events with Valid Reasoning Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

Reference 27

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-03T10:58:02.652552Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-06-27T09:47:04.122464Z digest=sha256:a7d803c64d06aa32b5836ff9efc84f8c4de4202b9cd3939d0cc930edd08d6036

Observation 2b794d08-7a0b-459e-9a48-a6dd0d0d22f8 · inbound

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting cites this paper.

Agentic Time Machine as an Infrastructure for Future-Event Forecasting Are LLMs Prescient? A Continuous Evaluation using Daily News as the Oracle

Reference 4

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-07-04T06:09:38.133931Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-07T06:34:17.273281+00:00.

source=pdf_text observed=2026-06-26T14:42:29.128094Z digest=sha256:e35cecc973f000e03ae23920e590690594953b6521020f5626532f91a0e0fa40