New procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales
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pricestockprocessesbettingmartingalemartingalesnullprocedures
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We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the capital process of a betting strategy. In particular with high frequency Markov type strategies we find that martingale null hypotheses are rejected for many stock price processes.
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