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Cosmic chronometers, Pantheon+ supernovae, and quasars favor coasting cosmologies over the flat $\Lambda$CDM model
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abstract
We test and compare coasting cosmological models with curvature parameters ${k=\left\{ -1,0,+1 \right\}}$ in ${H_0^2 c^{-2}}$ units and the flat $\Lambda$CDM model by fitting them to cosmic chronometers (CC), the Pantheon+ sample of type Ia supernovae (SNe), and standardized quasars (QSOs). We used the \texttt{emcee} code for fitting CC data, a custom Markov Chain Monte Carlo implementation for SNe and QSOs, and Anderson-Darling tests for normality on normalized residuals for model comparison. Best-fit parameters are presented, constrained by data within redshift ranges $z\leq 2$ for CCs, $z\leq 2.3$ for SNe, and $z\leq 7.54$ for QSOs. Coasting models, particularly the flat coasting model, are generally favored over the flat $\Lambda$CDM model. The overfitting of the flat $\Lambda$CDM model to Pantheon+ SNe and the large intrinsic scatter in QSO data suggest a need to refine error estimates in these datasets. We also highlight the seemingly fine-tuned nature of either the CC data or $\Omega_{\mathrm{m},0}$ in the flat $\Lambda$CDM model to an ${H_1=H_0}$ coincidence when fitting ${H(z)=H_1z+H_0}$, a natural feature of coasting models.
Forward citations
Cited by 2 Pith papers
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An intrinsic kinematic relation $\boldsymbol{c=\frac{c_{0}}{H_{0}}\,\dot{a}}\,$ inferred from Type Ia supernovae
The Pantheon supernova fit in a Dolgov–Barrow varying-speed-of-light cosmology favors the locus (1+ζ)μ=1, interpreted as c∝da/dt.
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Testing Quasi-Linear Coasting Cosmologies with Late-Time Large-Scale Structure Growth
A closed-form growth factor for linearly expanding (coasting) cosmologies is derived and fit to fσ8 data, showing all tested models are consistent but Lambda-CDM is statistically preferred.
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