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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models

As of 23 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 31 of 31 outbound references and 1 inbound Pith citation observation for arXiv:2506.23274.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2506.23274 v4

Coverage vector

measured 31 of 31 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.146199Z

measured 32 of 32 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00

measured 1 of 1 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-08T14:43:56.125546Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

31 of 31 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact1
  • verified fuzzy1
  • unresolved29
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch0

External citation measurements

0
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

Observation d1dc2eec-da4b-432f-a4cd-11d008598f0c · outbound

This paper cites online" 'onlinestring :=.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models online" 'onlinestring :=

Reference 1

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.045451Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.045451Z digest=sha256:c17b798d3ccb4c5a433b79bbe6123ec7dda6584b9c3cc4274dec9415b859002b

Observation bdf4b619-f5f2-482e-9f6e-cfc3854dc8bb · outbound

This paper cites write newline.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models write newline

Reference 2

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.200516Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.200516Z digest=sha256:2bc8c4987ec2a422e6eb3338881edbb149a281830addda34afa81fddfd8a143d

Observation 781b1b83-c349-418b-97ca-d4d2fb3c1092 · outbound

This paper cites Knowing Before Saying: LLM Representations Encode Information About Chain-of-Thought Success Before Completion.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Knowing Before Saying: LLM Representations Encode Information About Chain-of-Thought Success Before Completion

Reference 3

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.337337Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.337337Z digest=sha256:9853fd5cda03b06e0b0fa47f7e1df617ed4c02d90dc4d7949c4e6a0ab9a84c29

Observation 5cc1f29e-31c8-4517-83e1-b456cd5dffe8 · outbound

This paper cites L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning

Reference 4

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.473114Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.473114Z digest=sha256:c614437b41ee3728be0e75b70a0fa3ef306f012e4dffc35bd70cfc59f7a04612

Observation 64bcfdf4-6030-4057-ad2d-bd0eb462cf7b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

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unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.791129Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.602967Z digest=sha256:278563ce800131b924dd0e075dd3e6f1f1dd18e57fdbcea452d0f53e278d78c9

Observation 3556caa1-a966-4710-9e0e-29b1aea18100 · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning Theater: Disentangling Model Beliefs from Chain-of-Thought.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Reasoning Theater: Disentangling Model Beliefs from Chain-of-Thought

Reference 6

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.710573Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.710573Z digest=sha256:3f5c03292fa7d7166e0fd1a1ecbe94692ac20da2dccc8a9627d7733f92bd3edb

Observation 3b026046-a715-49b8-b9b7-e80aa2e446eb · outbound

This paper cites Post-Hoc Reasoning in Chain of Thought: Decoding and Steering Pre-Committed Answers.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Post-Hoc Reasoning in Chain of Thought: Decoding and Steering Pre-Committed Answers

Reference 7

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.833975Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.833975Z digest=sha256:862a50f8ae99bae1cd44d0863b81d1a7008fdc9268e8c7aad1404229b9e3a03c

Observation 1df8339e-3960-4286-8108-5549df6c44d1 · outbound

This paper cites DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning

Reference 8

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:07.905480Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.905480Z digest=sha256:ef830df0a29982a0550a13990a84be323d145e8d773b8b9838dbc53cc34ab83d

Observation 0495563a-1a82-4c3b-9b66-b36a379dbc38 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.661852Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:07.983513Z digest=sha256:f30cd982c35317217b96fb925bb5300058e48320bf09879ed08591b0c9651dc9

Observation 0edeed69-c8fa-4fb6-8d9a-4cc405daa810 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 10

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.503761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.059736Z digest=sha256:94851848dc230d6a6adcb7217e1c4f147ff88bb478d28e234c1f2e22d3a117d7

Observation 1d08f806-7347-4ce6-a9fa-618c39c64d8f · outbound

This paper cites OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems

Reference 11

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.160182Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.160182Z digest=sha256:72926cfd2f0fd6a593991784ebddea235e351f691d069c70b11957e6d297a193

Observation 61d17d4e-5716-49cb-b316-2b2972b9b63f · outbound

This paper cites LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models

Reference 12

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.249408Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.249408Z digest=sha256:9daba72604c21b9ac53c42ca03431ef6e97f2aae4775a10c917b201a72db6e15

Observation 57dd8214-2096-479e-bd16-eb14870a1e86 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 13

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.389257Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.389257Z digest=sha256:768ed2812f14f536b98f691a587249ff79836d3ef91ef7a0fe5f680cccf4672d

Observation d05e0762-49b2-4545-ac2a-ed9c6d7210bb · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 14

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unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.394827Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.495526Z digest=sha256:dd663a94c9ff66fe8a8bf7ec6a161febcb29c968b85ee4fd313ba4f3e606ee43

Observation 757417b5-63df-4558-ae92-acedc68f49aa · outbound

This paper cites BIG-Bench Extra Hard.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models BIG-Bench Extra Hard

Reference 15

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.585573Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.585573Z digest=sha256:be0232d7a6836b039812bd7666d5e331971e912ac17a1bd3603917875673ae4f

Observation 10a182f1-bc06-455d-a7bc-8d5e9ef50b8a · outbound

This paper cites Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks

Reference 16

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.665028Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.665028Z digest=sha256:b6d7c554997f03c63ac6f7400577d4a4e79c25c309b9760f31127a09fb3c9ac7

Observation 6798172e-b7ea-40a9-952a-4952518da938 · outbound

This paper cites Let's Verify Step by Step.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Let's Verify Step by Step

Reference 17

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.799864Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.799864Z digest=sha256:8897729d994c4e8f2279875a03f2b60c3ecd9dee63ea9dac806e063e17c4310d

Observation 0296a1e3-f937-43ae-8a94-0f4b910ed6c4 · outbound

This paper cites Tang, Manan Roongta, Colin Cai, Jeffrey Luo, Li Erran Li, Raluca Ada Popa, and Ion Stoica.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Tang, Manan Roongta, Colin Cai, Jeffrey Luo, Li Erran Li, Raluca Ada Popa, and Ion Stoica

Reference 18

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:08.901311Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:08.901311Z digest=sha256:e08980bc7d46f1f29e7ff5f40cd51a8d11b27cc23597ba95a22dc521237eec41

Observation b2515418-dffc-4efd-bfbd-a99ac142ea87 · outbound

This paper cites Self-Monitoring Navigation Agent via Auxiliary Progress Estimation.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Self-Monitoring Navigation Agent via Auxiliary Progress Estimation

Reference 19

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.087505Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.087505Z digest=sha256:eed5a02b66fd740081dc9d38a52cadb725070cd05bce5ffa53c105ed17fcf810

Observation 4278897f-3e42-42dc-ab77-a25f36efaca8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

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raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.217526Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.198738Z digest=sha256:6612e365937d50e1941d2d37e9aa1699926a0c2eabe1fa3b9adb7532fc0fa36f

Observation 7c5bd6fa-580b-4423-9757-e29299da360e · outbound

This paper cites s1: Simple test-time scaling.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models s1: Simple test-time scaling

Reference 21

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.321521Z digest=sha256:7653f84189f17ae25b32876154843dc7073d2a1ad26df67c933bf176902a76d1

Observation b4510817-bd18-4aee-95dc-1f28fcf54986 · outbound

This paper cites OpenAI o1 System Card.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models OpenAI o1 System Card

Reference 22

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.414464Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.414464Z digest=sha256:a2c61644c3dc8b6f0463c99fcf4c5af79ba69a78e0485c341438b122c15f0d42

Observation 8b767af5-6c0e-4f24-888b-793a46aee9ed · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

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unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:11.038679Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.537601Z digest=sha256:b06994790df2f6e157ac9f69c08f08224ae3be961fc33d9122db55ea4d36a082

Observation 55fbfcc4-0429-4143-a4f0-478fbfa3bac5 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 24

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no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.585266Z

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Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.585266Z digest=sha256:da1add95a7d6ea9921563a7321dcc16705d74ddb7c6ab3749205b9fbf7f741d4

Observation 0d0fed91-12d2-434c-bd91-21c73fba12f9 · outbound

This paper cites Thayer, Roni Stern, and Levi H.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Thayer, Roni Stern, and Levi H

Reference 25

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.916301Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.627962Z digest=sha256:72c9809c72d64d405e8480ff7bafa11b436a24c32f275e415d4acf54a99ab791

Observation 76723c02-3a6e-4370-8365-9712de7876e8 · outbound

This paper cites Calibrating Reasoning in Language Models with Internal Consistency.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Calibrating Reasoning in Language Models with Internal Consistency

Reference 26

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.731546Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.731546Z digest=sha256:2b769bbe46a7ec0dbdfee95d96d76e4f04cd0254f1d977f592f2e5a7d48b430d

Observation 3936ad77-716d-4947-a689-efe6d943f63d · outbound

This paper cites Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification

Reference 27

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.871354Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.871354Z digest=sha256:53b644f4dac433b3eb55b7e3eb441f9e77575e409700b71a302d9fc803f90c91

Observation dcda126d-f130-493c-b435-884fff431142 · outbound

This paper cites Vision-Language Navigation with Self-Supervised Auxiliary Reasoning Tasks.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Vision-Language Navigation with Self-Supervised Auxiliary Reasoning Tasks

Reference 28

Resolution
verified exact
local_arxiv, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.362430Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.915873Z digest=sha256:07b3adb8dbfd5b4423c256617a15d7b25972adbd9f11a29302da21072984c150

Observation 9e505ad1-3054-4562-a6f9-2cc3ffb0a599 · outbound

This paper cites @esa (Ref.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models @esa (Ref

Reference 29

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:09.973471Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:09.973471Z digest=sha256:16612ff47c1bc5cbfbaeaa91f4ab880c48ae91fc72f99156016ae63acb5ff9d6

Observation 24e1c789-4732-4bb9-a0f3-9951dfc1b34a · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 30

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.075601Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:10.075601Z digest=sha256:f0cd896949460cd3aa0eda814d92279155393a3ddd019a98196629505a793f8c

Observation d3bd7b87-1a87-405b-ad7f-3e986ea24e6d · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models Unresolved cited work

Reference 31

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unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-06T21:55:10.146199Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-06T21:55:10.146199Z digest=sha256:e6a430361a889f4213d94bd940eb1145f31d80f62e99f6a89afae18b16f8243d

Pith citing papers

Observation d101b226-0181-410a-b54c-0d954c171684 · inbound

Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models cites this paper.

Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models Real-Time Progress Prediction in Reasoning Language Models

Reference 15

Resolution
verified exact
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-27T02:05:03.856858Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-22T06:32:14.747728+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-05-08T14:43:56.125546Z digest=sha256:067debeff11bc8aebd0813e73464a5783e784182c2038329159f9e030b3490e6