Classifying Transient Regimes in Dynamic Systems through Properties of Spatial Curves and Stochastic Processes: A Data-Driven Approach
Reviewed by Pith T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 kernel 2026-06-27 02:01 UTCgrok-4.3pith:D5RUDYNWrecord.jsonopen to challenge →
The pith
A spatial curve from sample moments classifies transient regimes in multivariate dynamic systems using its arc length.
A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.
Core claim
Connecting sample mathematical moments into a spatial curve and applying stability theory along with properties of stationary stochastic processes allows arc-length and curvature classifiers to describe and detect transient regimes such as asymptotic stability, marginal stability, and cyclostationarity in multivariate systems.
What carries the argument
The spatial curve representation of the system based on its sample mathematical moments, where arc length serves as the main distinguishing feature for regime classification.
If this is right
- The classifiers apply to linear, nonlinear, and discontinuous multivariate systems under the studied conditions.
- No additional parameters or post-hoc tuning are required for the proposed classifiers.
- The method handles systems containing periodic signals where other sensor-based solutions may fail.
- The arc length classifier uses fewer computation resources than some existing alternatives while achieving better classification performance.
Where Pith is reading between the lines
- The geometric representation could be tested on experimental rather than only simulated data to check real-world robustness.
- Curvature-based classification might be combined with the arc length version for hybrid detection in systems with mixed behaviors.
- This moment-curve approach might connect to other time-series geometry methods for regime detection in control applications.
Load-bearing premise
That a spatial curve built from sample mathematical moments, combined with stability theory and properties of stationary stochastic processes, is sufficient to distinguish transient behaviors such as asymptotic stability, marginal stability, and cyclostationarity without additional parameters or post-hoc tuning.
What would settle it
Apply both the arc length classifier and a competing method to a new simulated multivariate cyclostationary system; if the arc length method consistently misclassifies the regime while the competitor succeeds, the outperformance claim is falsified.
Figures
read the original abstract
This article proposes a novel methodology for the classification of transient and stationary regimes in dynamic systems. Several sensor-based solutions for regime classification in the literature require the setting of several parameters, or are not suitable for scenarios involving multivariate systems that may contain periodic signals. The proposed method introduces a spatial curve representation of the considered system based on its sample mathematical moments. Then, by connecting concepts of stability theory, geometrical properties of spatial curves and stationary stochastic processes, two regime classifiers are designed using the arc length and the curvatures of the proposed curve. Both classifiers are capable of describing and detecting transient regimes, considering behaviors such as: multivariate asymptotically, marginally stability, and cyclostationarity. Furthermore, a quantitative comparison in performance and computation resources of the proposed classifiers against existing classifiers in the literature illustrates that the proposed regime classifier based on the arc length outperforms other techniques in classifying transient regimes for simulated linear, non-linear, and discontinuous multivariate systems under the specified studied conditions.
Editorial analysis
A structured set of objections, weighed in public.
Referee Report
Summary. The paper proposes a data-driven methodology for classifying transient and stationary regimes in dynamic systems. It constructs a spatial curve representation based on sample mathematical moments of the system outputs, then applies concepts from stability theory, geometrical properties of spatial curves, and stationary stochastic processes to design two classifiers: one based on arc length and one based on curvature. Both are intended to detect behaviors including multivariate asymptotic stability, marginal stability, and cyclostationarity. A quantitative comparison on simulated linear, nonlinear, and discontinuous multivariate systems claims that the arc-length classifier outperforms existing techniques under the specified studied conditions, while also comparing computational resources.
Significance. If the central claims hold with supporting derivations and validation, the work would offer a parameter-free classifier grounded in stability theory and stochastic process properties, addressing limitations of sensor-based methods that require parameter tuning or struggle with multivariate periodic signals. The geometric framing via moments-based curves is a distinctive contribution that could enable new tools for regime detection in control applications, provided the simulations demonstrate generalizability beyond the studied cases.
minor comments (2)
- [Abstract] Abstract: the performance claim is scoped to 'specified studied conditions' without enumerating the system dimensions, noise levels, sampling rates, or exact comparison baselines; this should be expanded for reproducibility even in the abstract.
- [Abstract] The abstract states the method is suitable for scenarios involving periodic signals, but does not indicate how cyclostationarity is quantitatively distinguished from marginal stability in the curve properties; a brief clarification would strengthen the claim.
Simulated Author's Rebuttal
We thank the referee for the accurate summary of our manuscript and for acknowledging the potential significance of a parameter-free, geometrically grounded classifier for transient regimes. The recommendation of 'uncertain' appears to stem from the absence of listed major comments; we therefore provide no point-by-point responses below and stand ready to address any specific concerns the referee may wish to raise in a subsequent round.
Circularity Check
No significant circularity; derivation self-contained
full rationale
The paper defines a spatial curve from sample mathematical moments, then applies arc length and curvature classifiers grounded in stability theory and stationary stochastic process properties. These steps are presented as direct constructions from the data and external mathematical concepts, with performance evaluated on simulated systems under explicitly stated conditions. No equation or claim reduces by construction to a fitted input renamed as prediction, no self-citation chain is load-bearing for the central result, and no ansatz or uniqueness theorem is smuggled in. The method is scoped without hidden tuning or self-referential definitions.
Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger
axioms (1)
- domain assumption Stability theory, geometrical properties of spatial curves, and stationary stochastic processes can be connected to design regime classifiers
invented entities (1)
-
spatial curve representation based on sample mathematical moments
no independent evidence
Reference graph
Works this paper leans on
-
[1]
L. Ljung. Perspectives on system identification.Annual Reviews in Control, 34(1):1–12, 2010
2010
-
[2]
H ¨agg, J
P. H ¨agg, J. Schoukens, M. Gevers, and H. Hjalmars- son. The transient impulse response modeling method for non-parametric system identification.Automatica, 68:314–328, 2016
2016
-
[3]
Lataire and T
J. Lataire and T. Chen. Transfer function and transient es- timation by Gaussian process regression in the frequency domain.Automatica, 72:217–229, 2016
2016
-
[4]
Qin and T.A
S.J. Qin and T.A. Badgwell. An overview of nonlinear model predictive control applications.Nonlinear model predictive control, 26:369–392, 2000
2000
-
[5]
Est ´evez and M
E. Est ´evez and M. Marcos. Model-based validation of industrial control systems.IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 8(2):302–310, 2011
2011
-
[6]
Y . Yao, Y . Kang, Y . Zhao, P. Li, and J. Tan. A novel prescribed-time control approach of state-constrained high-order nonlinear systems.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 2024
2024
-
[7]
Ye and Y
H. Ye and Y . Song. Prescribed-time control for lin- ear systems in canonical form via nonlinear feedback. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 53(2):1126–1135, 2022
2022
-
[8]
C. Hua, P. Ning, and K. Li. Adaptive prescribed-time control for a class of uncertain nonlinear systems.IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 67(11):6159–6166, 2021. 11
2021
-
[9]
Y . Song, H. Ye, and F. L. Lewis. Prescribed-time control and its latest developments.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 53(7):4102– 4116, 2023
2023
-
[10]
H. Yan, J. Wang, H. Zhang, H. Shen, and X. Zhan. Event- based security control for stochastic networked systems subject to attacks.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 50(11):4643–4654, 2018
2018
-
[11]
R. Ji, S. S. Ge, K. Zhao, and H. Li. Event-triggered tracking control for nonlinear systems with prescribed performance.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 2024
2024
-
[12]
Liu and G
D. Liu and G. H. Yang. A dynamic event-triggered control approach to leader-following consensus for linear multiagent systems.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 51(10):6271–6279, 2020
2020
-
[13]
Zhang, C
Z. Zhang, C. Wen, L. Xing, and Y . Song. Adaptive event- triggered control of uncertain nonlinear systems using intermittent output only.IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 67(8):4218–4225, 2021
2021
-
[14]
Chen and J
G. Chen and J. Dong. Approximate optimal adaptive prescribed performance control for uncertain nonlinear systems with feature information.IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 54(4):2298– 2308, 2024
2024
-
[15]
X. Ge, Q. L. Han, L. Ding, Y . L. Wang, and X. M. Zhang. Dynamic event-triggered distributed coordination control and its applications: A survey of trends and techniques. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, 50(9):3112–3125, 2020
2020
-
[16]
Puerto-Santana, C
C. Puerto-Santana, C. Ocampo-Martinez, and J. Diaz- Rozo. Mechanical rotor unbalance monitoring based on system identification and signal processing approaches. Journal of Sound and Vibration, 541:117313, 2022
2022
-
[17]
Zhang, S
S. Zhang, S. Lu, Q. He, and F. Kong. Time-varying singular value decomposition for periodic transient iden- tification in bearing fault diagnosis.Journal of Sound and Vibration, 379:213–231, 2016
2016
-
[18]
J. Antoni. Fast computation of the kurtogram for the detection of transient faults.Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 21(1):108–124, 2007
2007
-
[19]
B. Chen, Z. Zhang, Y . Zi, Z. He, and C. Sun. Detect- ing of transient vibration signatures using an improved fast spatial–spectral ensemble kurtosis kurtogram and its applications to mechanical signature analysis of short duration data from rotating machinery.Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 40(1):1–37, 2013
2013
-
[20]
Ureten and N
O. Ureten and N. Serinken. Wireless security through rf fingerprinting.Canadian Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering, 32(1):27–33, 2007
2007
-
[21]
S. M. Markalous, S. Tenbohlen, and K. Feser. Detection and location of partial discharges in power transform- ers using acoustic and electromagnetic signals.IEEE Transactions on Dielectrics and Electrical Insulation, 15(6):1576–1583, 2008
2008
-
[22]
Zhang, C
X. Zhang, C. Cai, and J. Zhang. A transient signal detection technique based on flatness measure. In2011 6th International Conference on Computer Science & Education (ICCSE), pages 310–312. IEEE, 2011
2011
-
[23]
Shaw and W
D. Shaw and W. Kinsner. Multifractal modelling of radio transmitter transients for classification. InIEEE WESCANEX 97 Communications, Power and Computing. Conference Proceedings, pages 306–312. IEEE, 1997
1997
-
[24]
Vasyutynskyy, J
V . Vasyutynskyy, J. Ploennigs, and K. Kabitzsch. Passive monitoring of control loops in building automation.IFAC Proceedings Volumes, 38(2):263–269, 2005
2005
-
[25]
Schladt and B
M. Schladt and B. Hu. Soft sensors based on nonlinear steady-state data reconciliation in the process industry. Chemical Engineering and Processing: Process Intensi- fication, 46(11):1107–1115, 2007
2007
-
[26]
Markalous, S
S. Markalous, S. Tenbohlen, and K. Feser. Detection and location of partial discharges in power transformers using acoustic and electromagnetic signals.IEEE Transactions on Dielectrics and Electrical Insulation, 15(6):1576– 1583, 2008
2008
-
[27]
Y . Yao, C. Zhao, and F. Gao. Batch-to-batch steady state identification based on variable correlation and Maha- lanobis distance.Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, 48(24):11060–11070, 2009
2009
-
[28]
R. R. Rhinehart. Automated steady and transient state identification in noisy processes. In2013 American Control Conference, pages 4477–4493, Washington, DC,
-
[29]
L. Liu, Z. Liu, M. Popov, P. Palensky, and M.A. van der Meijden. A fast protection of multi-terminal HVDC system based on transient signal detection.IEEE Trans- actions on Power Delivery, 36(1):43–51, 2020
2020
-
[30]
Yu and X
S. Yu and X. Li. Identification of steady state and transient state.Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University (Science), pages 1–10, 2022
2022
-
[31]
Williams.Probability with martingales
D. Williams.Probability with martingales. Cambridge university press, 1991
1991
-
[32]
Papoulis and S.U
A. Papoulis and S.U. Pillai.Probability, Random Vari- ables, and Stochastic Processes. McGraw-Hill series in electrical engineering: Communications and signal processing. Tata McGraw-Hill, 2002
2002
-
[33]
Walters.An introduction to ergodic theory, volume 79
P. Walters.An introduction to ergodic theory, volume 79. Springer Science and Business Media, 2000
2000
-
[34]
K. I. Park.Fundamentals of Probability and Stochas- tic Processes with Applications to Communications. Springer International Publishing, 2018
2018
-
[35]
Mohammadi
M. Mohammadi. A new method for prediction of station- ary time series using the Riemann sum approximation. Digital Signal Processing, 123:103405, 2022
2022
-
[36]
Gagniuc.Markov Chains: From Theory to Imple- mentation and Experimentation
P.A. Gagniuc.Markov Chains: From Theory to Imple- mentation and Experimentation. John Wiley & Sons, 2017
2017
-
[37]
Gardner, A
W.A. Gardner, A. Napolitano, and L. Paura. Cyclosta- tionarity: Half a century of research.Signal processing, 86(4):639–697, 2006
2006
-
[38]
C., Manfredo.Differential geometry of curves and surfaces: revised and updated second edition
D. C., Manfredo.Differential geometry of curves and surfaces: revised and updated second edition. Courier Dover Publications, 2016
2016
-
[39]
N. Wheeler. Frenet-Serret formulæ in higher dimension. page 8
-
[40]
Giunti and C
M. Giunti and C. Mazzola.Dynamical systems on 12 monoids: toward a general theory of deterministic sys- tems and motion, pages 173–185. World Scientific, 2012
2012
-
[41]
Geometrical theory of dynamical systems
N. Berglund. Geometrical theory of dynamical systems. arXiv preprint math/0111177, 2001
work page internal anchor Pith review Pith/arXiv arXiv 2001
-
[42]
J. P. Hespanha.Linear systems theory. Princeton University Press, 2018
2018
-
[43]
Amenta, S
N. Amenta, S. Choi, and R.K. Kolluri. The power crust, unions of balls, and the medial axis transform. Computational Geometry, 19(2-3):127–153, 2001
2001
-
[44]
Puerto-Santana, C
C. Puerto-Santana, C. Puerto-Santana, C. Ocampo- Martinez, and J. Diaz-Rozo. Classifying transient regimes in dynamic systems through properties of spatial curves and stochastic processes: A data-driven approach (supplementary material). https://www.dropbox.com/scl/ fi/5msdqe5rr813x5v609fjn/revised appendix.pdf?rlkey= t1lvctu671gve3gzk7ljr20ih&st=gqjlm3r6&dl=0
-
[45]
P. A. Gorry. General least-squares smoothing and differ- entiation by the convolution (Savitzky-Golay) method. Analytical Chemistry, 62(6):570–573, 1990
1990
-
[46]
S. T. Yeh. Using trapezoidal rule for the area under a curve calculation.Proceedings of the 27th Annual SAS® User Group International (SUGI’02), pages 1–5, 2002
2002
-
[47]
P. B. Petrovic. Root-mean-square measurement of peri- odic, band-limited signals. In2012 IEEE International Instrumentation and Measurement Technology Confer- ence Proceedings, pages 323–327. IEEE, 2012
2012
-
[48]
Van den Bos
A. Van den Bos. Periodic test signals-properties and use. InInternational Conference on Control 1991. Control’91, pages 545–549. IET, 1991
1991
-
[49]
Poomjan, T
S. Poomjan, T. Taengtang, K. Srinuanjan, S. Kamoldilok, and P. Buranasiri. Accurate rms calculations for periodic signals by trapezoidal rule with the least data amount. Studies Theor. Phys., 7(21), 2013
2013
-
[50]
Welvaert and Y
M. Welvaert and Y . Rosseel. On the definition of signal- to-noise ratio and contrast-to-noise ratio for fmri data. PloS one, 8(11):e77089, 2013
2013
-
[51]
Kamakoti and C
R. Kamakoti and C. Pantano. High-order narrow stencil finite-difference approximations of second-order deriva- tives involving variable coefficients.SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 31(6):4222–4243, 2010
2010
-
[52]
D Powel and K
N. D Powel and K. A. Morgansen. Empirical observ- ability gramian rank condition for weak observability of nonlinear systems with control. In2015 54th IEEE Con- ference on Decision and Control (CDC), pages 6342–
-
[53]
Sedoglavic
A. Sedoglavic. A probabilistic algorithm to test local algebraic observability in polynomial time. InProceed- ings of the 2001 international symposium on Symbolic and algebraic computation, pages 309–317, 2001
2001
-
[54]
A. I. Russell. Regular and irregular signal resampling. Technical report, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2006. Cristian Puerto-Santanareceived his bachellor’s degree in Mechanical and Electrical Engineer from Universidad de los Andes, Bogot ´a, Colombia, in 2016 and 2017, respectively. He obtained his mas- ter’s degree in Automation, Electronics a...
discussion (0)
Sign in with ORCID, Apple, or X to comment. Anyone can read and Pith papers without signing in.