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Paper Integrity Record · LEDGER

Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most

As of 5 June 2026, Pith completed 12 of 13 listed checks against arXiv:2605.22672. The completed checks produced 6 public findings within their stated scope. 1 check was skipped and produced no result.

This is a record of named checks, not a clean-status claim or a paper verdict.

pith.integrity.v1
2605.22672 v2
pith:2026:DF6FBB35XUDJ7OMN3NMMNVCATT

Coverage vector

completed 12 of 13 listed checks

Counted as completed checks in the claim sentence numerator.

skipped 1 of 13 listed checks

Skipped checks produced no result and say nothing about absence.

Listed checks

doi_compliance

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-06-05 21:16:40.430482+00:00

Scope
DOI and arXiv identifiers listed in the bibliography checked against named registries.
Completed surface
Checked 8 references.

doi_title_agreement

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-06-05 21:06:15.766124+00:00

Scope
Cited titles compared with titles resolved from their DOI or arXiv identifier.
Completed surface
Checked 57 references.

ai_meta_artifact

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-06-04 23:39:25.052840+00:00

Scope
Paper body text scanned for literal AI-assistant artifacts.
Completed surface
Checked 1 reference.

cited_work_retraction

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-31 23:55:41.071650+00:00

Scope
Cited references checked for source-reported retractions or expressions of concern.
Completed surface
Completed within the stated scope.

claim_evidence

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-28 23:45:00.973032+00:00

Scope
Recorded paper claims checked for the evidence artifacts they name.
Completed surface
Completed within the stated scope.

external_links

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-24 23:34:27.080404+00:00

Scope
External URLs extracted from paper text checked at the stated time.
Completed surface
Checked 4 references. Recorded 1 finding from this run.

citation_quote_validity

completed

v0.1.0, observed 2026-05-24 09:52:10.142995+00:00

Scope
Specific factual attributions checked against cited-paper text available in Pith.
Completed surface
Completed within the stated scope.

doi_compliance

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-24 05:34:48.288951+00:00

Scope
DOI and arXiv identifiers listed in the bibliography checked against named registries.
Completed surface
Checked 8 references.

doi_title_agreement

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-24 05:32:25.950949+00:00

Scope
Cited titles compared with titles resolved from their DOI or arXiv identifier.
Completed surface
Checked 57 references.

claim_evidence

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-24 02:23:17.094411+00:00

Scope
Recorded paper claims checked for the evidence artifacts they name.
Completed surface
Completed within the stated scope.

shingle_duplication

completed

v0.1.0, observed 2026-05-22 17:49:52.798215+00:00

Scope
Available paper body text compared for identical 40-token sequences under the detector's stated exclusions.
Completed surface
Checked 600 references.

cited_work_retraction

completed

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-22 04:52:52.531417+00:00

Scope
Cited references checked for source-reported retractions or expressions of concern.
Completed surface
Completed within the stated scope.

ai_meta_artifact

skipped

v1.0.0, observed 2026-05-22 02:33:38.010859+00:00

Scope
Paper body text scanned for literal AI-assistant artifacts.
Reason
Paper body text was unavailable.

Observations

Methods and limits

Each listed check names the surface it examined. A skipped, failed, partial, unavailable, not collected, not requested, or withheld check says nothing about what a completed check would have returned.

  • Only checks with status completed enter the claim sentence numerator.
  • Findings appear only from completed checks and only within the scope printed for that check.
  • Severity labels describe one observation row. They do not roll up into a paper judgment.