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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts

As of 21 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 13 of 13 outbound references and 0 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2607.28178.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2607.28178 v1

Coverage vector

measured 13 of 13 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:58.121858Z

measured 13 of 13 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-21T06:32:19.484+00:00

measured 0 of 0 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links

measured 0 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: cited_works

Reference resolution

13 of 13 outbound references displayed

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External citation measurements

No source-named external measurement is stored.

Outbound references

Observation 6cb5e6cc-57a1-4558-b01f-998024df568d · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.PLoS computational biology, 17(2):e1008618, 2021.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.PLoS computational biology, 17(2):e1008618, 2021

Reference 1

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:56.671225Z

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Observation efcc084e-566d-4b62-bdd6-2baf945e3c4d · outbound

This paper cites Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation.Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 32:255–270, 2014.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation.Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 32:255–270, 2014

Reference 2

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:56.765479Z

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Observation 1ceeafe0-5e38-4274-ba36-212b325980c6 · outbound

This paper cites Vulnerable growth.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Vulnerable growth

Reference 3

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:56.867002Z

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Observation 4df54f73-77fb-4c11-a394-c49df7c8e014 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Unresolved cited work

Reference 4

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:56.995735Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-31T15:32:56.995735Z digest=sha256:7443ca8ba2d55d7baf5c0ae81623c45fb74837d43d64f55453766e3ac72f5a97

Observation 9054eb06-f999-481c-9f4d-981003be76cf · outbound

This paper cites Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 69(2):243–268, 2007.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 69(2):243–268, 2007

Reference 5

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.121706Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-31T15:32:57.121706Z digest=sha256:7a8f61fb61f969a16e395d192311a157ed9cec2399cf32bd417ced5f83bed8fc

Observation 6afb045c-d7ac-4ef2-95c5-52aff08d0a77 · outbound

This paper cites Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation.Journal of the American statistical Association, 102(477):359–378, 2007.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation.Journal of the American statistical Association, 102(477):359–378, 2007

Reference 6

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.241739Z

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Observation 465add75-a5a4-4e44-aa58-d43448b41bdd · outbound

This paper cites Forecast scoring and calibration.Lecture notes.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Forecast scoring and calibration.Lecture notes

Reference 7

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.394155Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-31T15:32:57.394155Z digest=sha256:5769724d127435630a511594fd98bb5fe882291114d153b511acbef695e4123b

Observation d4f16897-9c9b-491f-820f-76ce6319dc38 · outbound

This paper cites An introduction to roc analysis.Pattern recognition letters, 27(8):861– 874, 2006.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts An introduction to roc analysis.Pattern recognition letters, 27(8):861– 874, 2006

Reference 8

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.536941Z

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Observation 546f09f0-6271-4560-a310-69989298dcad · outbound

This paper cites Receiver operating characteristic (roc) movies, universal roc (uroc) curves, and coefficient of predictive ability (cpa).Machine Learning, 111(8):2769–2797, 2022.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Receiver operating characteristic (roc) movies, universal roc (uroc) curves, and coefficient of predictive ability (cpa).Machine Learning, 111(8):2769–2797, 2022

Reference 9

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.636910Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-31T15:32:57.636910Z digest=sha256:6881139eff7669b0f6e50ab75b893776eb863ab4a47c954d7c96ffaa03e0417f

Observation ca100c26-d42a-40fc-97d3-0b441be96847 · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating interval forecasts.International economic review, pages 841–862, 1998.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Evaluating interval forecasts.International economic review, pages 841–862, 1998

Reference 10

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.771587Z

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Observation 08e11f80-1db2-4069-a428-f438bb264651 · outbound

This paper cites On the comparison of interval forecasts.Journal of Time Series Analysis, 39(6):953–965, 2018.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts On the comparison of interval forecasts.Journal of Time Series Analysis, 39(6):953–965, 2018

Reference 11

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.879644Z

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Observation bcd85f9a-bbb6-465d-ad50-dde46e7fabf2 · outbound

This paper cites Combining predictive distributions.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Combining predictive distributions

Reference 12

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:57.992285Z

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source=pdf_text observed=2026-07-31T15:32:57.992285Z digest=sha256:9d1a983228becb620086b5203d045d4f6252c3de39269ee4d0244dd1e98df067

Observation a2e86429-ea48-4f73-b588-6798fc2a03f8 · outbound

This paper cites Analysis and visualization of classifier performance with nonuniform class and cost distributions.

An Interval-Score ROC Curve for Assessment, Calibration and Ensembling of Probabilistic Forecasts Analysis and visualization of classifier performance with nonuniform class and cost distributions

Reference 13

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no resolver link, observed 2026-07-31T15:32:58.121858Z

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Pith citing papers

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