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Paper Citation Record · LEDGER

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

As of 20 August 2026, this Paper Citation Record lists 37 of 37 outbound references and 2 inbound Pith citation observations for arXiv:2501.19334.

A citation records a reference. It does not transfer a finding from one paper to another.

pith.paper-citation-record.v1
2501.19334 v3

Coverage vector

measured 37 of 37 reference resolution

Typed states for the displayed outbound observations.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.439485Z

measured 39 of 39 standing notices

One-hop event checks from named stored sources.

Source: scholarly_work_events, retraction_status_cache, observed 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00

measured 2 of 2 inbound itemization

Pith citing papers itemized under the disclosed page cap.

Source: paper_references, paper_reference_links, observed 2026-05-20T19:59:40.519962Z

measured 1 of 1 external citation measurements

A source-named dated measurement, never combined with another source.

Source: arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Reference resolution

37 of 37 outbound references displayed

  • verified exact7
  • verified fuzzy9
  • unresolved19
  • parse uncertain0
  • malformed identifier0
  • metadata mismatch2

External citation measurements

0
arxiv_reference, observed 2026-08-05T02:28:24.338817Z

Outbound references

Observation e9e7a2fe-b05a-4fd7-9d58-524a7773c88e · outbound

This paper cites Aiken, T.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Aiken, T

Reference 1

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.440641Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.273424Z digest=sha256:1440a1ae365749bcfb5d3124d877c91d2af8379dbcecc94c6d87dbb20a4ba431

Observation 8440bcbf-e7d2-4753-8eec-893e80e3e538 · outbound

This paper cites Antoni, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Antoni, A

Reference 2

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.572846Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.279036Z digest=sha256:65ff45914f4bc2542bb700abc0afe009bdcd7da2706d0f4f25b633d088ff0666

Observation 9cd38f93-9833-4545-bd00-c7db12e8047d · outbound

This paper cites Antoni, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Antoni, A

Reference 3

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.557363Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.284123Z digest=sha256:ac06d852b9a2e342d715aaf8dd6ea99f7dd57af0460993309578e5f9e50312a7

Observation a3914ed2-8c29-4052-bd7c-99893910ec70 · outbound

This paper cites Athey and S.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Athey and S

Reference 4

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.665382Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.289221Z digest=sha256:b0dcd38426ce8b49623c2336a15c5e78d62715c26538ad9b5f4f25dd05a1d466

Observation ce50c133-a244-42c4-a594-089b3cddd8c3 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 5

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.542389Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.293766Z digest=sha256:a8183519a0f4e407747fb91530267f62afb8cad45e3fe72bd23f0cdbda772d8f

Observation a2ec4560-da4b-4816-ad5c-12edbbebcf43 · outbound

This paper cites Barocas, M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Barocas, M

Reference 6

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.298694Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.298694Z digest=sha256:5468fcf53af7f7445355cec19218f88df340c238fd429933c98d35d58c1655d2

Observation cffdc1e6-c064-43a6-975b-6a71224a038b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 7

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.641823Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.303786Z digest=sha256:6c9c75b338de6766d01c57a69f0a09e8de54dc99e85c2753c524c95ecefa0cb2

Observation c00abc97-6610-498a-96bb-22864d89c03d · outbound

This paper cites Evaluating the Effectiveness of Index-Based Treatment Allocation.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Evaluating the Effectiveness of Index-Based Treatment Allocation

Reference 8

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.308275Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.308275Z digest=sha256:18da505c2fd3aa2b62f72a44743f32f6ff629420959c17a3d3c06db263d408d5

Observation e05d6f43-67b2-4909-a70e-ace717a25110 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 9

Resolution
verified exact
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.339518Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.313030Z digest=sha256:5f24730629e427ef111f8921da6ddf3a16b8af46a7bd645f8f0bcae117a1a1cd

Observation fc0e9d45-97f3-4b07-b6fa-2c6f25b5f5c3 · outbound

This paper cites Chouldechova, D.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Chouldechova, D

Reference 10

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.627569Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.317330Z digest=sha256:6d015217100cba01cfa15a8a08b7b0418eaba5b7b2b8d5e4c9ee33dbaaf8ff0a

Observation e3108af5-31f3-4928-89fc-b743e27e68ea · outbound

This paper cites Clementi and M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Clementi and M

Reference 11

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.613491Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.321761Z digest=sha256:e14e0a1967c0da13dc9175463ad673a21db65eb08cd4987878f298898bb95929

Observation ef85c520-fc70-4838-9f36-0c860968dde2 · outbound

This paper cites Coston, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Coston, A

Reference 12

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.326515Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.326515Z digest=sha256:958fee31e093cbaefc98195e4cc732c2d9bfbb7dbda0dcd86d51a95a71dff732

Observation d61e90f1-0e4f-4946-b5e2-61163b7798d4 · outbound

This paper cites Desiere and L.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Desiere and L

Reference 13

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.527328Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.330939Z digest=sha256:567bd2ac8fae1946e53b99672d12aa6972f8d23b65fd7e6bc08335b75b22b93b

Observation f03911e8-3b69-4223-948a-b84a1c212fb2 · outbound

This paper cites Desiere, K.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Desiere, K

Reference 14

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.512586Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.335305Z digest=sha256:3b96319a75e5c049e0f8bbbcd7be19c96239d905c941c7810afc76664bbbb9f7

Observation 8b7dc90b-0642-424c-a088-42f0086300f0 · outbound

This paper cites Drezner and G.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Drezner and G

Reference 15

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.599523Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.339760Z digest=sha256:5b0be06821c5fa7a7633ec7db32b3091d720ac47b6dcd3893936d0435bbd3863

Observation 5fa05448-a1af-4ad0-b350-f7a3b2bcd509 · outbound

This paper cites predict, then optimize.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off predict, then optimize

Reference 16

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.584299Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.344204Z digest=sha256:1588dbf55840759dad21fed743ea4c0413ee40ce8eb547abb469675815aafa67

Observation 2bad3bf3-a69a-4abe-9971-eb0c65b5ba0e · outbound

This paper cites Fern\' a ndez-Lor\' a and F.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Fern\' a ndez-Lor\' a and F

Reference 17

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.348582Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.348582Z digest=sha256:4e4fe30c6df2acf46ecbd7742a7f4dcf195647fa2dcc02fba2cc0533fb368844

Observation c8ae0d80-e70a-4e45-a8e0-2bb278aad0ef · outbound

This paper cites Fischer-Abaigar, C.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Fischer-Abaigar, C

Reference 18

Resolution
metadata mismatch
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.106806Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.352828Z digest=sha256:a7a73d0ba23481e140b7d317af68e3f1ad9640c4ce2461676f0d776e6f984d2d

Observation ae023628-c22b-4cbb-b5a4-4da040b81d2f · outbound

This paper cites Guerdan, A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Guerdan, A

Reference 19

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.357204Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.357204Z digest=sha256:73a574a5270fff65774dbb75f522efa257afccea51ce604711e451f2304377a9

Observation a1d05178-0a15-42e7-8947-2185e6db371e · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 20

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.568389Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.361861Z digest=sha256:b6ba2943d749a5a6b4bd4c490ff76d38d5ed8aabf12f2d3a837254e4e649729b

Observation 52e00ef9-0488-4473-b3bc-65134326c93f · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 21

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.366247Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.366247Z digest=sha256:6dfb512347d97d7e9630d1c4f279503cd278a13cb2f2186d572476f884936f1f

Observation 611e9862-89b1-41b7-99d2-dc6822e5c3f9 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 22

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.370521Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.370521Z digest=sha256:336371c7132218134f35645d5675636a478b3e5384e891bc0a319e49fc8cc7c8

Observation 47eb3185-a9aa-473e-aca2-78ec6848efb1 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 23

Resolution
verified exact
doi, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.496647Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.375292Z digest=sha256:5e7c9a4ee9d10f3441defbd6c1d731216a8f68827887776341ff429058d22b5d

Observation 6beee263-5ea2-4560-b81a-553a8a7f556f · outbound

This paper cites Kitagawa and A.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Kitagawa and A

Reference 24

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.379816Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.379816Z digest=sha256:bb24577cab72d155d2b1c6b66cc16e339bfdc128e5642216ba7b30136e1e4c21

Observation 66a49a72-1ad4-4b8d-8409-c3a361fcda6a · outbound

This paper cites Kleinberg, J.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Kleinberg, J

Reference 25

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.553616Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.384203Z digest=sha256:a06b7f9f2c4bcc24ce92c9bb6fc2405a99b72c80a7f53799c1f6271fa76e869f

Observation 903023d8-639d-4917-a15e-f8338b52c559 · outbound

This paper cites K \"o rtner and G.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off K \"o rtner and G

Reference 26

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.538876Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.388646Z digest=sha256:82961944c4d8e24fee26cd4ba85b221acd10fad46f847c86bd75851f485a6b8a

Observation 8d48d837-846c-40e4-af24-368c6bc3ec61 · outbound

This paper cites Loxha and M.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Loxha and M

Reference 27

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.524667Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.393001Z digest=sha256:48c19d51765b0ace06941b8ce3c5a69aadd1240aba15a3f1b639b373db6be410

Observation dd771e4b-2bc9-4d0a-b42c-f207b7c1ecec · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 28

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.397536Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.397536Z digest=sha256:10b9f6188ce76f5bde69b61ec91b1e364f1fd6ea0f35fa9965729e5eb05dfda6

Observation c96c50a1-7551-4fe0-8c95-3b3a681e2ba8 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 29

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.510373Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.402110Z digest=sha256:e014ba2fca1500d9cb971f589af71c9c7bd6574aee1e0cc3cf28b5d7239ab95e

Observation bc3c436f-0e48-4d9a-92e4-82139c675d2e · outbound

This paper cites Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schools.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Difficult Lessons on Social Prediction from Wisconsin Public Schools

Reference 30

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.406565Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.406565Z digest=sha256:8fc240e7ccb0648d70d2cc27e574b22cb35618e97568684cf3ba0ae475cba71b

Observation 39a4c3a4-fe31-4b45-9eff-81f306a2f0b6 · outbound

This paper cites Potash, J.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Potash, J

Reference 31

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.411298Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.411298Z digest=sha256:bb71f365d93b6442f11231d3acfafb09c953eb3da576e02f7685e0f5f3fd3b63

Observation b6ccf6d8-6e95-49f3-ac29-95991fee0e73 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 32

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.415558Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.415558Z digest=sha256:22087985930f133d2baa4c02393bc9381d94a894953cbc3ca2268ecc23e67c8f

Observation 50ad56c2-4c06-4cd7-b8d0-a08dc8144d4e · outbound

This paper cites Shirali, R.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Shirali, R

Reference 33

Resolution
verified fuzzy
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.486959Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.419977Z digest=sha256:eca903b18673380eaa622cc5285e688c64938cf7c72944701dde423648cf8318

Observation 5c623da3-ba6b-4388-b3dc-b14d3408eb10 · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 34

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.471606Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.424367Z digest=sha256:606128d991a6d4af9ffcaeded2d4d76d7f5e1519727b6497e19eee9b11a8a842

Observation 8a52a223-fd00-45c5-a9c7-721508bb4bbd · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 35

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.428766Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.428766Z digest=sha256:c52129e1233a6a492e0208935b8aca1ff78a78980e2c1e10c326fb23c87bf446

Observation b6965a5c-7786-4292-a619-f5a32653750a · outbound

This paper cites Learning treatment effects while treating those in need.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Learning treatment effects while treating those in need

Reference 36

Resolution
unresolved
no resolver link, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:29.434761Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

Unavailable: canonical work link unavailable.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.434761Z digest=sha256:962eddc35e35ebc662d059164695b91877d1e3c75d41c641a38c53434b7845c8

Observation 4e243ed6-8daa-4e0d-9f49-e5ae6e80167b · outbound

This paper cites an unresolved cited work.

The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off Unresolved cited work

Reference 37

Resolution
unresolved
raw_fallback, observed 2026-08-09T20:37:30.456892Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

source=arxiv_source observed=2026-08-09T20:37:29.439485Z digest=sha256:a7dc5e662f963c37f15df8e7c66797eb4af12b5d9d097b8ea84f571a04d8849d

Pith citing papers

Observation 35f2a470-e187-4907-bd77-d5d0fac00a28 · inbound

Privacy, Prediction, and Allocation cites this paper.

Privacy, Prediction, and Allocation The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

Reference 23

Resolution
metadata mismatch
arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-10T08:43:00.869598Z

Source-reported events for the cited work

No event found in the named queried sources as of 2026-08-19T06:32:44.657259+00:00.

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Observation 59815ca7-b530-4067-b208-b88c3b69b009 · inbound

MLReplicate: Benchmarking Autonomous Research Systems for Machine Learning Reproducibility cites this paper.

MLReplicate: Benchmarking Autonomous Research Systems for Machine Learning Reproducibility The Value of Prediction in Identifying the Worst-Off

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arxiv_id, observed 2026-05-20T20:03:44.104273Z

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